Bidding after a misbid

[iggygork]

Playing against a much, much better team in an 8 board a round Sectional Swiss match, you pickup:

 

[hv=d=s&v=n&s=skxxxhkjxxdaxckt9]133|100|Scoring: IMP[/hv]

 

You estimate that you are behind in this match and this is board 6 (out of 8).

 

Playing 12-14 NT and four way transfers by responder, you have the following auction (opps silent):

 

1NT (12-14) - 2♠ (transfer to ♣) - 2NT (denying as much as Jxx in ♣, a misbid), 3♣ by pard

 

Pard's 3♣ is normally any hand with 6+♣ that cannot force to game, nominally 0-10 HCP, the higher end unlikely with solid or near solid clubs.

 

What now? Pass or bid on?

[jdonn]

Since this happened in real life, I assume you heard partner alert 2NT and this woke you up to the misbid, so there would be no choice but to pass anyway.

 

If it was online and I just remembered on my own, I would still pass.

[han]

Agree with Josh, you cannot catch up.

[Guest Jlall]

Pass, your weak NT already created a swing.

[jtfanclub]

What now? Pass or bid on?

One of the rules I've learned is...it's easier to catch up in a team game by not bidding games the opponents are bidding, than by bidding games the opponent's aren't bidding.

 

Think about it. Suppose 3NT is 45%. With this vulnerability, you'll win more points on the long run by bidding it. Your opponents are very good, so they know this, and they'll bid the game. But if you don't bid the game, over half the time you'll be right! Admittedly, you only gain 6 IMPs, instead of 10, but you're a lot more likely to get a positive swing than by bidding a game your opponents wouldn't touch with a stick.