Jump to content

Hand Evaluation


Recommended Posts

MP, all white

Pard is a very strong player (for real!!)

 

You hold:

K J x x x

Q

K x x

Q T x x

 

Pard deals and opens 1

 

1 - p - 1 - (2)

2 - (3)* - ?

 

* I asked what 3 was and was told its Natural, and shows a heart fit.

What do you bid at this point?

 

If my reasoning is faulty, please tell me.

1. I have a wasted QH.

2. The Club suit is defensive

3. I have no idea what pards are. My King under the overcaller is surely good (unless its ruffed in a contract, when LHO has a stiff or void).

 

What do you do? 3? 4? Pass? X?

 

 

***4. I forgot we were using Support doubles! :) So 2 should show 4.

Given that pard has 4, how would that change your bididng.

I think Bid 3 with a 5-4 fit.

 

Please dont factor #4 into your first resposne, to the first section.

Just pretend that you are unsure if pard has 3 or 4 spades.

 

Then see if it changes when you know he has 4

Link to comment
Share on other sites

A lot of partnerships play "last train" game tries - 3 here, since the opps left you room to bid it. With that agreement, 3 would only be competitive, while Double would suggest defending.

 

If partner's raise shows 4 , I would just jump to game. He can't hold "wasted" cards because of my Q. And he might undervalue his holding after the 3 bid by his LHO.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This is a very close choice between a game try of 3 or just a blast to 4 to me knowing PD has 4 and therefore I can ruff in my hand without critically tapping our combined hands.

 

One has to plan ahead, and if you make the game try and the opps go to 4 and PD fails to bid game , will you double or carry on to 4 ? This is MP and all White and +300 won't do so well if you are cold for +420.

 

The weird 3 bid gives me cause for some worry. What if LHO leads his stiff to RHO's ace and gets a ruff. That would like sinkly 4 unless PD is really max, and may sink it anyhow.

 

If I make a 3 game try, LHO can double it to suggest a game try to RHO, but if I double 3, what will PD think ? If I double 3, LHO has even more options, 3 competing, 4 game, and xx which would pass the buck to PD as to whether to bid the game or not.

 

I don't care for my wasted Q of and I fear a D ruff, so I'll just make a 3 generic or last train game try here. If the opps bid 4 over 3 here, I don't have much choice after having made a game try but to double them and hope they go set.

 

Hmm..maybe a direct blast to 4 game is best ? If I knew my opps liked to push to 5 over 4's, I'd jump to game since I really doubt they'll score well in 5x.

 

Hmm..not so sure here..take your choice of game try or game bid .. neilkaz ..

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 as a game try.

 

You have room to bid that suit (), so maximal overcall doubles aren't in effect, and a X of 3 should therefore be penalty oriented, but they aren't going to play 3 doubled anyhow.

 

Let's get partner's opinion. 4 may be the winning call but IMHO it's too unilateral to just bid it up here.

 

NB - 3 is "merely competitive" and partner will pass it.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

MP, all white

Pard is a very strong player (for real!!)

 

You hold:

K J x x x

Q

K x x

Q T x x

 

Pard deals and opens 1

 

1 - p - 1 - (2)

2 - (3)* - ?

 

* I asked what 3 was and was told its Natural, and shows a heart fit.

What do you bid at this point?

 

If my reasoning is faulty, please tell me.

1. I have a wasted QH.

2. The Club suit is defensive

3. I have no idea what pards are.  My King under the overcaller is surely good (unless its ruffed in a contract, when LHO has a stiff or void).

 

What do you do?  3?  4?  Pass?  X?

 

 

***4. I forgot we were using Support doubles! :(  So 2 should show 4.

Given that pard has 4, how would that change your bididng. 

I think Bid 3 with a 5-4 fit.

 

Please dont factor #4 into your first resposne, to the first section.

Just pretend that you are unsure if pard has 3 or 4 spades.

 

Then see if it changes when you know he has 4

3. Don't care if 2 shows 3 or 4. Hoping they will bid 4. I have a bad feeling about 4 (but I have been wrong before ;)

 

Steven

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 2 weeks later...
I would bid game, but if I were going to invite then 3 is a bad bid IMO, it tells partner nothing useful. Why not take the chance to double 3 then bid 3 over 3, that is a much better description of the values in the hand (fitting diamonds and short hearts) and will help partner judge very accurately.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3H is enough without aces.

 

As for Josh's argument against 3H, it's all and well if the auction proceeds according to plan (X then 3S). But, if LHO decides to take a stab on 4H with a distributional hand, we not so good placed.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3H is enough without aces.

 

As for Josh's argument against 3H, it's all and well if the auction proceeds according to plan (X then 3S). But, if LHO decides to take a stab on 4H with a distributional hand, we not so good placed.

Yes you are, you have an auto 4 then since the chance of partner having heart wastage is greatly reduced and the opponents might even be making, you can't afford to defend when either side might make game.

 

But I still think it's worth forcing to game.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3H is enough without aces.

 

As for Josh's argument against 3H, it's all and well if the auction proceeds according to plan (X then 3S). But, if LHO decides to take a stab on 4H with a distributional hand, we not so good placed.

Yes you are, you have an auto 4 then since the chance of partner having heart wastage is greatly reduced and the opponents might even be making, you can't afford to defend when either side might make game.

 

But I still think it's worth forcing to game.

I can understand bidding 4 as a 2 way shot - either to make, or as a save against 4.

 

But they are far from bidding game, and there's no guarantee they will. I'd rather find out if our hands fit. Our heart shortage is great, but only pard can tell if there's wastage or not.

 

We can always blink and bid 4 later if necessary.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3H is enough without aces.

 

As for Josh's argument against 3H, it's all and well if the auction proceeds according to plan (X then 3S). But, if LHO decides to take a stab on 4H with a distributional hand, we not so good placed.

Yes you are, you have an auto 4 then since the chance of partner having heart wastage is greatly reduced and the opponents might even be making, you can't afford to defend when either side might make game.

 

But I still think it's worth forcing to game.

Well, we disagree, but what else is new ;-)

If you bid 3H and next hand bids 4H, partner should be well situated to X if called for or bid 4S. If partner passes instead, I'm passing too.

 

Do keep in mind that in close decisions it's good to check your control ratio and let that be a deciding factor.

 

With 10-11 hcp, we're expected to hold 3 controls (A+K). We have 2.

Chosing caution will serve you best. Bid your hand and let partner bid his.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Well, we disagree, but what else is new ;-)

No kidding B)

 

I don't understand. Doesn't everything you said about if the opponents bid 4 apply if we double 3 equally as well as if we bid 3? Except that partner will be more accurate since the double is descriptive but the 3 bid is vague?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I don't understand. Doesn't everything you said about if the opponents bid 4 apply if we double 3 equally as well as if we bid 3? Except that partner will be more accurate since the double is descriptive but the 3 bid is vague?

Maybe there's no difference for you, but for me X of 3D doesn't invite 4S per se. It encourages a 3S-bid but doesn't set up a force, meaning that we can sell out to 3H undoubled.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I don't understand. Doesn't everything you said about if the opponents bid 4 apply if we double 3 equally as well as if we bid 3? Except that partner will be more accurate since the double is descriptive but the 3 bid is vague?

Maybe there's no difference for you, but for me X of 3D doesn't invite 4S per se. It encourages a 3S-bid but doesn't set up a force, meaning that we can sell out to 3H undoubled.

Ok it seems to me like I would never double 3 without at least a game invitation. We will just say everyone's judgment is stupendous and it's simply a mild disagreement about the meaning of a bid that probably has never come up for either of us :)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I would bash 4, the problem with 3 on this auction as a genuine invite is that you have now given them an extra chance to convey information. They can now double 3 to show whatever their agreements are, perhaps it means LHO has good hearts, who knows? So by bidding 3 you may give them the chance to know whether or not they should be doubling you later. May as well just go for it now.

 

Sean

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...