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How close to 3 spades ?


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[hv=v=b&s=saj95h98dqcakt983]133|100|1-1-1-p

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Pick up p. How close to 3 are you ?

(No agreements on 3, assume 4 is splint showing a stronger hand))

4.5 losers. I'd bid 3 spades without the diamond queen. In fact, I'm seriously tempted to bid 4 spades....I may make if partner has 5 spades to the king and no other points. I do hate missing game.

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How do you get to 4.5 losers ? Counting in an oldfashioned way I get to 6 (2 spade, 3 red, 1 club)

I still bid 3 counting on a nine card spade fit and the solid clubs. P had 4 spades KTxx and single club, but the club suit saved the day

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How do you get to 4.5 losers ? Counting in an oldfashioned way I get to 6 (2 spade, 3 red, 1 club)

When I picked up the hand, I had six losers. Now that I know spades are trump, I count 4.5.

 

If partner has a doubleton club, I have no club losers (one small club gets ruffed). If partner has three clubs, I have no club losers (assume they split for LTC purposes). So there is no amount of clubs partner can have where I would count a loser in clubs.

 

In spades, well, I'm counting the AJ9x as half a loser. I probably shouldn't, but odds are good that, worst case scenario, we can finesse with this holding for 50% short of another trick.

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We have nine trumps, and I have a side 6-card suit headed by the AK. If partner has Kxxxx-xxx-xxx-xx, I really like my chances. So, I'm going to ask him to bid 4 with hands where six may be lay-down?

 

4 for me.

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