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Hand eval for no-trump


BillHiggin

How many HCP do you consider this hand  

50 members have voted

  1. 1. How many HCP do you consider this hand

    • 13 HCP
      0
    • 14 HCP
      0
    • 15 HCP
      2
    • 16 HCP
      12
    • 17 HCP
      34
    • 18 HCP
      0
    • Monkey
      2


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Is this a 15-17 1NT opening? Yes

If partner invites, is it an accept? Yes, on the basis that if the QJ doubleton are not working we are probably off in two...

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Perhaps the real question:

A player has opened 1N with this hand (announced range being less than 15-17) and the opponents have hollered "MI".

Both the 1N bidder and his partner state that the hand qualifies for their range (we will get to that shortly), so it is clearly not a case of "missed that queen".

I would assume that if their posted range were 14-16, none of us would give any further consideration to the MI issue.

How about if it were 13-15?

12-14?

11-13?

Only after your ruling can you invite this pair to your high stakes set game.

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For misinformation purposes -- "shut up idiots" would be my TD ruling, except for ZT.

 

This is a problem with "HCP" as a term, though, in all seriousness. I have run into this problem repeatedly. A hand often "looks like" a specified range, despite not technically being within that range under the "don't re-evaluate" analysis.

 

Thus, I once defined 1NT as "looks like 15-17, but some hands in the 13-18 range fit within our meaning." I'd offer explanation if desired. Same with 2NT, even worse. I'd define this as "looks like 20-21, but hands that qualify could reach as low as 17 and as high as 23."

 

I see the problem on this one. 17 raw. -1 or -2 for the poor control count, probably -2 for the Q-J tight. Add maybe +1 for the two tens. Gets me to "looks like" 16, with flexibility to re-think after more of an auction. I might fudge to 16 or 17 depending upon tactics (what do I want to open?) with your range. So, covered.

 

But, the "MI" might be in not explaining that you "count weird." Not poor counting techniques, perhaps, but weird to someone who calls the TD for this slight discrepancy.

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If the range was even 14-16 I'd be a little skeptical but just let it go, since there is nothing I could do about it anyway and there is some chance they are telling the truth. If it was 13-15 or less I simply don't believe them, but if they are telling the truth then simply announcing 13-15 is not adequate if this hand qualifies for them.
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Well you can count HCP by adding up 1 point for jack, 2 for queen, etc. If the number you get by this naive calculation lands in the stated range, then complaining about disclosure is ridiculous. I'd be inclined to give a procedural penalty for such (he opened a 15-17 NT with a balanced 17 HCP and you accuse his partnership of MI? isn't that like an accusation of cheating?)

 

In general if the hand is within a point of the stated range and the bidder can give some reasonable explanation of why they thought the hand was good or bad for its points (i.e. I have a good five card suit so I thought this 14 was worth 15, or I have 4333 shape and no aces so I thought this 18 was only worth 17) then that's fine.

 

If the "naive count" is off by two points or more, or if the bidder can't explain why they thought this hand was an upgrade (or a downgrade) in an intelligent way, then I'd either rule it a psych (which is fine if done infrequently) or tell the folks in question that they need to describe their range differently.

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For misinformation purposes -- "shut up idiots" would be my TD ruling, except for ZT.

Not sure what ZT means but besides that, I agree. Usually I have little sympathy for misinformation complaints but I've rarely heard something as absurd as this. Change the T to J and my response would be the same. Change it to Q and there might be an issue.

 

FWIW, I agree with Han - a bad 17 but not very bad.

 

Edit: sorry, I misread "less than 15-17" as "15-17". It's still ok to evaluate this one as 16, but if it where one HCP stronger there might be an issue.

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[hv=s=saktxhkqxxdqjcqtx]133|100|[/hv]

I would rate this hand with 16 HCPs. so I had no problems with a 14-16 NT range.

If they play a weaker NT, there explanation was wrong.In this case they should announce: 13-15 but be well in the 11-17 HCP Range, we don´t stick too close to HCPs.

 

And with a weaker NT there could be a case for misinformation. Normally not in the bidding, but if you play against 1 (or 3) NT and declarer showed 14 HCPS already you "know", that he cannot posses another high card and will misdefend. Then MI could be a case.

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IMO of the following 17 counts...

;)

[A] KQJ KQJ QJx Qxxx is awful.

:huh:

Qxxx Jxxx KQ AKQ is bad.

:huh:

[C] AKTx KQxx QJ QTx is good.

:huh:

[D] AT9x KQJ9 AK9 Tx is too strong fir a 15-17 1NT.

:huh:

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Hi,

 

17HCP, did I miscount?

 

Sure, there are better ones out there,

but if I take the LTC as a 2nd guide,

I get 6 looser, which fits fairly well

with the expected 6 looser opposite

a strong NT, and I will have 3 cover

cards for partner, no matter which suit

he intends to play.

 

With kind regards

Marlowe

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For NT purposes, this is a good 17 IMO.

 

If partner transfers to 's, the T devalues. Normally, one of the side suit holdings devalues too, while the other two gains value - according to partners (at this time unknown) shape.

 

Mostly the same happens if partner transfers to 's.

 

I'd always superaccept if partner transfers to a major here. My agreements is to bid 3M with minimum and 3x with a weak doubleton. Here I'd bid 2NT over a major suit transfer - I won't treat QJ as a weak doubleton.

 

Playing a method where you bid a strong four card sidesuit when super accepting, I'd rebid 2 over a transfer to 's and 3 over a transfer to 's.

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I voted easy 17, but I don't think is a good 17.

 

Playing a method where you bid a strong four card sidesuit when super accepting, I'd rebid 2 over a transfer to 's and 3 over a transfer to 's.

 

Wow. I play this, but didn't think anyone else did. Most seem to like cuebidding or shortness trials here in my experience. However, assuming that a 2 bid the transfer to s, I would rebid 2NT over it - superaccepting in NT shows the suit bid by responder in my system. Is this poor?

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I voted easy 17, but I don't think is a good 17.

 

Playing a method where you bid a strong four card sidesuit when super accepting, I'd rebid 2 over a transfer to 's and 3 over a transfer to 's.

 

Wow. I play this, but didn't think anyone else did. Most seem to like cuebidding or shortness trials here in my experience. However, assuming that a 2 bid the transfer to s, I would rebid 2NT over it - superaccepting in NT shows the suit bid by responder in my system. Is this poor?

I don't play this myself, but know people who do (Brogeland-Sælensminde among them). They play 2NT as a max with 4c support and no strong side suit, AFAIK.

 

If you don't superaccept without a maximum, your method should be superior, since it's spacesaving.

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Perhaps the real question:

A player has opened 1N with this hand (announced range being less than 15-17) and the opponents have hollered "MI".

Both the 1N bidder and his partner state that the hand qualifies for their range (we will get to that shortly), so it is clearly not a case of "missed that queen".

I would assume that if their posted range were 14-16, none of us would give any further consideration to the MI issue.

How about if it were 13-15?

12-14?

11-13?

Only after your ruling can you invite this pair to your high stakes set game.

AKTx KQxx QJ QTx

 

To me, this hand falls somewhere in between 16-18. 17 looks about right. The QJ of diamonds is a slight minus, but if partner holds one honor, they will carry their full weight.

 

The hand has both majors. If partner has either major we can practically superaccept.

 

The hand has 4 cards less than a 10. I don't know what the x's are, but if they are higher than a 7, I consider it a plus as well. Having Q108 of clubs will be more useful than having Q102 sometimes.

 

I would consider this hand appropriate for any 1N opening range with a lower limit of 14. I could even agree (or not disagree) with treating it as 18 intending to open 1m and rebid 2N or 3M (over partners 1M response).

 

Anything under 13-15 is pushing it, but I could be convinced a pair would discount the QJ and consider it to be a "really good" 15. I wouldnt, but somebody else might Opening this hand on a 12-14 or less NT range, would be a gross distortion to me.

 

ZT = Zero Tolerance. You can't call your opponents idiots, at least not to their face. :lol:

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For misinformation purposes -- "shut up idiots" would be my TD ruling, except for ZT.

 

This is a problem with "HCP" as a term, though, in all seriousness. I have run into this problem repeatedly. A hand often "looks like" a specified range, despite not technically being within that range under the "don't re-evaluate" analysis.

 

Thus, I once defined 1NT as "looks like 15-17, but some hands in the 13-18 range fit within our meaning." I'd offer explanation if desired. Same with 2NT, even worse. I'd define this as "looks like 20-21, but hands that qualify could reach as low as 17 and as high as 23."

 

I see the problem on this one. 17 raw. -1 or -2 for the poor control count, probably -2 for the Q-J tight. Add maybe +1 for the two tens. Gets me to "looks like" 16, with flexibility to re-think after more of an auction. I might fudge to 16 or 17 depending upon tactics (what do I want to open?) with your range. So, covered.

 

But, the "MI" might be in not explaining that you "count weird." Not poor counting techniques, perhaps, but weird to someone who calls the TD for this slight discrepancy.

Ken, would you feel the same way, if the announced range was 10-12? 11-13?

 

I think the question being asked is, when does it change from "Shut up idiots" for complaining about the misinformation to "Hmm, there might be a problem here".

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For misinformation purposes -- "shut up idiots" would be my TD ruling, except for ZT.

 

This is a problem with "HCP" as a term, though, in all seriousness.  I have run into this problem repeatedly.  A hand often "looks like" a specified range, despite not technically being within that range under the "don't re-evaluate" analysis.

 

Thus, I once defined 1NT as "looks like 15-17, but some hands in the 13-18 range fit within our meaning."  I'd offer explanation if desired.  Same with 2NT, even worse.  I'd define this as "looks like 20-21, but hands that qualify could reach as low as 17 and as high as 23."

 

I see the problem on this one.  17 raw.  -1 or -2 for the poor control count, probably -2 for the Q-J tight.  Add maybe +1 for the two tens.  Gets me to "looks like" 16, with flexibility to re-think after more of an auction.  I might fudge to 16 or 17 depending upon tactics (what do I want to open?) with your range.  So, covered.

 

But, the "MI" might be in not explaining that you "count weird."  Not poor counting techniques, perhaps, but weird to someone who calls the TD for this slight discrepancy.

Ken, would you feel the same way, if the announced range was 10-12? 11-13?

 

I think the question being asked is, when does it change from "Shut up idiots" for complaining about the misinformation to "Hmm, there might be a problem here".

When I wrote this, I thought the problem was 14-16 bidding this way.

 

If the range was say 13-15, this seems odd.

 

If 12-14, the person has lost his mind.

 

I would not particularly care, unless his partner was fielding this. If the opener just decided to be weird for some reason, good on him.

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