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Lead against this slam


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What's your lead?  

17 members have voted

  1. 1. What's your lead?

    • Club
      1
    • Diamond
      15
    • Heart
      0
    • Spade
      1


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You hold:

[hv=d=e&v=b&s=stxxxhtxxdqxxxcxx]133|100|[/hv]

 

The auction went (RHO starting):

1 - 1

3NT - 4NT (3NT shows good hand with solid s)

6NT - pass

 

Your lead and reasoning please?

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.

 

We can assume that partner has at least one winner... if he holds none, not only can't we beat this, but the opps have underbid. If he has two winners, on any lead, then our lead is irrelevant.

 

If he has a red Ace and the K, he'd double... sure, the might be behind him, but he has to double.

 

So we have to choose a red suit lead. We need more from him in s for that to be right than we need in s, because we are contributing the Q in that suit. If he has the A (as an example) and the K alone, then a will probably not do the trick... but if he has the K alone, the lead establishes our Q.

 

Against a grand, I'd lead a black suit, as the most neutral. Against a small, I lead aggressively unless the auction tells me otherwise, and this one doesn't.

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We aren't told the form of scoring.

 

I am less convinced of the merits of an attacking diamond lead were the scoring matchpoints.

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