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XX?


glen

Pass or XX?  

29 members have voted

  1. 1. Pass or XX?

    • Pass
      13
    • Redouble
      16


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[hv=d=w&v=n&s=sakj9hdakqjt8742c]133|100|Scoring: IMP[/hv]

 

This is from Feb 07 Swiss Match, board 12 - the story on the board was the play, but I was wondering about the bidding - would you pass or redouble after:

 

1NT-2(majors, bid by Alvin Landy)-Pass-7(like your bid?)-Pass-Pass-Double-?

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The bidding was

 

(1 NT) 2 (pass) 7

 

So my pd has the majors and not necessarily diamond support. So the guess is: Does he have the queen of spade? Or 5 Spades and the suit is breaking? Or 4 to the ten and the queen is doubleton?

 

I like my odds.

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Redouble has a lot of ways to win, and only one way to lose. If they beat you (-100 or -200), redoubled will not make much differnece (-200 or -400). You are not going down tons here. The big way it might lose is if 7 is a reasonable save, not that they are very likely to find that, but it is at least possible. I think there is a reasonable chance you will make 7 and the redouble rates to gain a lot more than it loses (if they don't bid 7).

 

As it is, LHO either psyched a 1NT bid (unless it is weak variety) or RHO is void is spades. I don't think it was a psyche because RHO would have done something over 2 (double to show clubs most likely).

 

It could be a psyche because partner has something for 2 and RHO made a penalty double. Give partner just 5 points for his 2 bid, you can account for 24 of the hcp between partner and yourself. How can RHO be doubling on one hcp? Or RHO is doubling hoping for a spade lead (LHO has four, partner has five, or LHO has three partner six). However, LHO will still have to guess, as he is likely long in hearts too.

 

If you survive the spade ruff at trick one, partner may still need the spade queen for this hand to make. RHO will surely manage to give count in all the relevant suits as you run diamonds, so they should not misdefend.

 

BTW, if you think about it long enough, you could and should talk yourself into bidding 7 here. East is PROBABLY doubling for a spade lead, suggesting he has a diamond (to ruff with) and a spade void. Unless partner bid 2 with four spades, you have a much better chance to make 7/

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Come on guys how can they try 7H? Partner has shown the majors and they couldn't even bid 2H. There is a 0% chance they are going to bid so the only question should be if you gain value by XXing or not. Nobody doubles a slam after not bidding even 2H and then speculatively runs to a suit partner has shown at the 7 level.
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Dealer: West
Vul: N/S
Scoring: IMP
AKJ9
[space]
AKQJT8742
[space]
 

 

This is from Feb 07 Swiss Match, board 12 - the story on the board was the play, but I was wondering about the bidding - would you pass or redouble after:

 

1NT-2(majors, bid by Alvin Landy)-Pass-7(like your bid?)-Pass-Pass-Double-?

Is this Goulash? If so, I expect them to run to 7NT, partner (who is void in diamonds) picks a heart lead, and they pick up the suit for 13 tricks in clubs and hearts.

 

I want to know what the X means. If means lead a club, I XX. If it means lead a spade, I'll switch to 7. It can't just be penalty...I know of 33 hcp between me and opener. Has to be lead directing.

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Howdy Doody on my left psyched 1N with 7 solid diamonds.

 

Redoubled grands give nice odds; 2330 to 2660 versus 200 to 400.

With 16 diamonds in the deck, I doubt that any result would stand. But a psyche with a lot of club make sense due to the lack of a doouble of 2 by RHO or some club preempt by RHO

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Howdy Doody on my left psyched 1N with 7 solid diamonds.

 

Redoubled grands give nice odds; 2330 to 2660 versus 200 to 400.

With 16 diamonds in the deck, I doubt that any result would stand. But a psyche with a lot of club make sense due to the lack of a doouble of 2 by RHO or some club preempt by RHO

LOL; haven't had my coffee yet. How about 7 clubs on my left?

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Absolutely redouble, I want blood. Will virtually never be down more than one so it has almost nothing to lose, and even if RHO does have a spade void LHO may have at least as many hearts as spades and so make the wrong lead.
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Perhaps "monkey" should have been an option!

 

The question "Do you like this bid" has much more pertinence.

If 7 makes and they bid a makeable grand at the other table, xx can gain 6 or 7 IMPs.

If you are destined to lose a spade trick and the other table bids some failing contract, xx risks 4 IMPs.

If they bid a making small slam at the other table, then the quality of your choice of grand may win 17 or lose 14, and xx will add 1 IMP to either swing.

If 7 makes and they bid a failing contract at the other table, you win 20 IMPs and gain one more by redoubling.

If a spade ruff beats 7 and they bid and make a grand at the other table, you lose 20 IMPs and xx adds just one more.

 

Ever so much more rests on the choice of contract than on redouble.

 

I am still trying to figure out how there can be a play of hand story to 7.

I can see a play of hand story in 7 with dummy tapped at trick one, Alvin holding Qxxxx and the suit splitting 4-0 (making if East holds at least as many diamonds as North).

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He has probably seen what you like to open 3N on :)

And he would be right that I would have less, since I would redouble on this one, my only problems being to do in tempo and to not to look at the back of the 7 bidding card until the hand was over

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Btw, in the story, the hand passed the double, and then partner with QT87 KJxxxx --- Jxx, bid 7.

I would bid 7S over pd 7H and might say bye-bye after this hand.

 

directly bidding at 7 level would never expect pd to "correct" to other suit, void or not in my suit.

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