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Double partscore swing


starfruit

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[hv=d=s&v=e&n=sk3h9432dkt863ct8&w=s96ht7da95ckq6532&e=sj752hak8d74caj74&s=saqt84hqj65dqj2c9]399|300|Scoring: IMP[/hv]

 

Played this hand today and I was seating E.

Bidding went (for N/S) : 1 - 1NT - 2 - P

And declarer made 2 + 1 (didn't find the ruff)

 

The other table made 4. :angry:

My thought was that we're vulnerable and they might not even have a trump fit. . .

So the bidding seemed reasonable.

A 2 overcall felt like too dangerous

Should we have been bidding at any point in time?

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"You have to bid 2♣ over 1♠. That is your first and final chance to do something. As you can see, to pass is as risky as bidding, if not more."

 

Easy enough in the Forums, tough at the table with a mediocre 6 card suit, a 9 count, at unfavorable.

 

It's not a ridiculous action, but I don't think many good players would do it at the table.

 

OTOH, switch the vulnerability and 3C becomes knid of attractive, for some of us anyway :angry:

 

Peter

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I too would pass but would find ruff.

We get 50 if we defeat 2 .We get 130 if find contract.So we lose only 3 imps.This hand IMO suggests one should be concerned about defence rather than bidding. :angry:

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In general overcalling with the west hand will fairly frequently get you a small gain, and occasionally get you a huge loss. On a good day you get +110 instead of -110 say, or +130 instead of +50. But sometimes you will go for 500 or 800 opposite what may not even be a game. The impression I get from most good IMP players is that overcalling this hand is a losing proposition in the long run, although it's easy to see that it could work out on any particular lie of the cards.

 

I'd just chalk it up to opponents taking a mildly negative-expectation action that works out, not an infrequent event. It's like if you always bid 45% games and opponents never do -- in the long run you will win more IMPs than they do, but on any particular hand they could win IMPs over you (and in fact they will win more often than they lose, but the sizes of the swings are bigger when they lose).

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I'd just chalk it up to opponents taking a mildly negative-expectation action that works out, not an infrequent event. It's like if you always bid 45% games and opponents never do -- in the long run you will win more IMPs than they do, but on any particular hand they could win IMPs over you (and in fact they will win more often than they lose, but the sizes of the swings are bigger when they lose).

You're right : guess this result is fairly normal for our side

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The auction is perfectly normal - it is way too risky to get in with 2C and there is no reason to assume an 8-card fit for the opponents - contrast this to 1S-P-2S-P-P.

 

At imps, the risk of going off -800 in 2/3 clubs against a partscore is substantial and not worth the gains.

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I am not quite sure why we should assume we are getting out in 3clubs? I am all for getting in and getting out but we need an exit plan that does not get us killed. :)

 

Partner is an unpassed hand, is she allowed to bid over 3clubs at unfav vul and assume you have a 7 trick hand?

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I too would pass but would find ruff.

We get 50 if we defeat 2 .We get 130 if find contract.So we lose only 3 imps.This hand IMO suggests one should be concerned about defence rather than bidding. ;)

1, 1 ruff, 2 and 1 isn't enough to beat it though

Oops.Sorry

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At the conditions, bidding on this hand in direct seat is lunacy

I think I remember a hand in SJ Simon's cut for partners where a similar 2 butt-in was not made because of 'safety reasons', only to find out, after letting 4 through, that the side was cold for SEVEN hearts.

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At the conditions, bidding on this hand in direct seat is lunacy

I think I remember a hand in SJ Simon's cut for partners where a similar 2 butt-in was not made because of 'safety reasons', only to find out, after letting 4 through, that the side was cold for SEVEN hearts.

There's a reason why you've only see that occur in a book.

 

Anyway, my main reason for not overcalling 2 is not safety, but that pard will expect me to have a better hand so we will get too high too often.

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At the conditions, bidding on this hand in direct seat is lunacy

I think I remember a hand in SJ Simon's cut for partners where a similar 2 butt-in was not made because of 'safety reasons', only to find out, after letting 4 through, that the side was cold for SEVEN hearts.

There's a reason why you've only see that occur in a book.

 

Anyway, my main reason for not overcalling 2 is not safety, but that pard will expect me to have a better hand so we will get too high too often.

I once defended a 3H contract (one off) with neither partner bidding when our side was cold for 7C.

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