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5S7D


MickyB

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Interesting - My instinct is to bid 5, based mainly on the often-repeated advice that these hands play best in their long suit. However, when I asked a few good players at the local club (one of the strongest clubs in the UK) there were maybe 6 votes for 4, 2 votes for 4NT, and none for 5. One of the 4 voters put it thus - "If partner doesn't have spades, you aren't making 5", which only seems to fall down when partner has rather more than his fair share of diamonds!

 

So, any theories as to why one group of players leaned so heavily towards playing in 4 and the other to playing at the 5 level? I wonder if a player who discusses hands in a group will feel that a bid is right partly because they know that the rest of their group would make the same bid! This has some benefits (e.g. none of the players I asked considered that partner would return to 5 if you ran from 4 X to 5, maybe because they expect partner to place you with a 5-7), but it still seems a bit weird. Any thoughts? Anyone want to try giving this hand to other groups of players? :rolleyes:

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So, any theories as to why one group of players leaned so heavily towards playing in 4 and the other to playing at the 5 level?

Maybe they knew you would bid 5, and deduced from the fact you were asking that that must be the wrong answer. :rolleyes:

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One of the 4 voters put it thus - "If partner doesn't have spades, you aren't making 5"

 

And you believed them?

 

[hv=s=skxhxxxxdaxxcaxxx]133|100|[/hv]

 

isnt an unreasonable hand for partner to hold.

 

Neither is:

 

[hv=s=skxhxxxxdaxxcaxxx]133|100|[/hv]

 

Which plays better, 4 or 6 on either of these holdings?

 

So, any theories as to why one group of players leaned so heavily towards playing in 4♠ and the other to playing at the 5 level?

 

Yea. But none that I can share without offending somebody in the 4 bidding group.

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Hands like this are rarley more than a guess. Aren't they best settled by simulation ?

Simulations can help but they have problems of their own ...

 

1. What does a 4H opening look like? How many hearts? How many points? Is it allowed four spades? Is it allowed five of a minor (or even spades)?

 

2. When will the opponents double 4S*?

 

3. Will we always run when they double 4S*?

 

4. What happens when we bid 4S or 4NT and the opponent raises to 5H (or higher)?

 

5. If we bid 4NT then 5D does this show much longer diamonds like we have or could it just be a much stronger 5/5 hand?

 

6. And then what does partner bid without a fit for either of our suits (1-1, 2-1, 2-0 etc)?

 

7. How many tricks will we make in any final contract? Double dummy tricks are easy to calculate but especially on these distributional hands can be wildly inaccurate when often the contract swings on the lead or a two-way guess.

 

I am sure there are even more questions to consider ...

 

Nevertheless I have used these simulations at times for several years but one must consider any results as a guide only expecially if the simulation suggests it is close between two actions.

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4N and then 5D is nice until LHO bids 5H and partner bids 6C (partner will not be catering to you showing diamonds and spades which will overcall 4S 99 % of the time). Even if LHO doesn't bid 5H, partner may bid 6C. 4N and then 5D should show a hand with both suits that is too strong to just overcall 4S and has both suits. It's very nice to say "obv 4N then 5D shows 2 more diamonds than spades and enough strength to bid since with 1 more diamond I would just overcall 4S" but it's not so simple.

 

And what if the auction goes 4H-4S-5H-p-p-? Are we comfortable passing? If not, wouldn't we be much better placed if we had overcalled in diamonds first?

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I can accept, that it is usefull to bid just 5 , if you believe, that opps will bid 5 , but I doubt that it is useful to use 4 NT followed by 5 as a stronger two suiter.

I agree, that this is a nice idea, but I doubt that there is any sense to have agreements for this special area beyond "4 NT is a two suiter" and taking pds suit out shows that he choose the wrong one. I doubt, that it is usefull to have different agreements for (4) 4 NT and (4) 4 NT.

It would be nice to have it, but it will never happen, so I doubt that it makes sense to memorize this.

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I can accept, that it is usefull to bid just 5 , if you believe, that opps will bid 5 , but I doubt that it is useful to use 4 NT followed by 5 as a stronger two suiter.

I agree, that this is a nice idea, but I doubt that there is any sense to have agreements for this special area beyond "4 NT is a two suiter" and taking pds suit out shows that he choose the wrong one. I doubt, that it is usefull to have different agreements for (4) 4 NT and (4) 4 NT.

It would be nice to have it, but it will never happen, so I doubt that it makes sense to memorize this.

This isn't about special agreements that you have to memorize, just about bridge logic.

 

1. If you bid 4N over 4H, then 98% of the time you will have both minors, as with 5-5 and spades, you will always bid 4 unless you have slam interest.

 

2. 4N-then-5D must show a pretty good hand. If you are inviting partner to play 5 when you could have played 4, I think it's pretty logical that you think you can make that.

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