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Defensive hand from STAC


pclayton

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[hv=d=w&v=e&n=sk3hkq8763d74cjt4&e=saj9hj5d52c876532]266|200|Scoring: MP[/hv]

 

Matchpoints, EW Vul. This is midway through the "STAC"; Sectional Tournament at Clubs. Scores are aggregated through the western 5 districts. The winner gets about 15 MPs, so you need a very good score to have a chance.

 

I played 3 sessions and scored 60, 67 and 63%. I expect the 67% to place, but while we won the club game each time, the 60 and the 63 won't place.

 

Back to the hand. Pard opens 2 r/w. RHO passes, you choose to pass and LHO balanced with 3. RHO tries 3 and LHO closes it out at 4.

 

Pard leads the 4 (5th best), declarer rises with the K and you win the Ace. Declarer plays the 6. Now what?

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I think a lot of this is how much faith I have in partner and whether or not 5-card suits are OK for preemptive 2 bids.

 

If I am assuming a 6-card suit, then I have to believe that partner's 4 is an attempt at suit preference with a hand such as Q10xxxx, Axxx, Jxx, void. Here I have to return the 8 of clubs for suit preference to have partner underlead his Q of spades a second time.

 

If pard might preempt with a 5-card suit, the problem is different. Here I think the same concept applies, in that I have to play partner for something like Q10xxx, xxxx, Qx, AQ. Here I would lead the club 7 and follow with the 8 to imply a second entry in spades.

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I would switch to a high club, but it depends on partner's style. For a red vs white weak two with a QT8xxx suit, I expect partner to have a singleton, which is certainly in clubs, and one or two cards on the side. If he has a diamond control (likely), we can give him a club ruff later with our J entry.

 

On the other hand, since Phil passed with AJ9 support and two doubletons, maybe partner's red vs white 2M style isn't what I assume above.

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How wild is partner? At best his spades are QTxxxx red versus white in first seat. It is safe to assume partner has three hearts (at least), and he lacks AK. Will this partner preempt at these conditions with such a poor spade suit while holding four hearts? I will say NO, so that leaves partner with 6-3-x-y. Y (clubs) can not be zero, or declarer has forgotten to bid AKQx of clubs to rebid a five card card diamond suit.

 

So partner will be 6-3-3-1, 6-3-2-2, 6-3-1-3 or 6-3-0-4. The last two holding requires declarer to have an unlikley eight or nine card suit. If partner had a singleton club, he might have tried for a club ruff instead of the spade lead (unless his diamonds are so strong he isn't interested in a ruff). So I will play partner for the 6322 hand. The club lead, club, spade back and diamond ruff looks good, but requires partner to have specifically AQ of clubs, Q of spades. With that hand, they have already missed playing in hearts which surely makes three. So I am going to cash the JACK and wait to see partners card. No doubt it will call for a club, which I will then lead. I anticipate winning 2S, and two tricks in partners hand (whatever values he had for his 2S vul opening bid.. maybe a diamond and heart ace.

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First an aside: IMO, third from even, low from odd is more readable than strict third and fifth.

 

I take it from the play now that partner's standard lead as you play would be the 4 from Q108742, or 5th best. As it doesn't seem likely that declarer would insist on a minor-suit contract, especially at MPs, with any kind of tolerance, he is apt to have shape such as 2173. or 2164. It would help to know if a side 4-card major is allowed with the 2S bid. If declarer does hold a doubleton heart I don't think it matters too much as long as I don't let them make +150. But if 4D is par, it matters a lot. It is odd that partner did not lead a singleton club and didn't try to wake me up to a club ruff by leading the 2 of spades. Perhaps opps are not in the best contract....2272 then is possible. But then declarer, with something like:

xx, xx, AKQxxxx, AK bid 3S over 3H trying for 3N?

 

I'm still prone to place declarer on 2-1 major shape, so perhaps he is 2182.

 

Let's see. xx, A, AQJxxxxx, AQ. This looks possible. So how do I get partner to not blow a trick and give declarer a losing option? I think the thing to do is win the spade and and return a high club club. Partner should be able to place me with the spade J for declarer's play of the King, so after winning the club he can get out with a low spade. At this point I can continue with a spade, giving a meaningless ruff/sluff, but also giving declarer the losing option of ruffing in dummy and taking a losing diamond finesse.

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Let's see.  xx, A, AQJxxxxx, AQ.  This looks possible.  So how do I get partner to not blow a trick and give declarer a losing option?  I think the thing to do is win the spade and and return a high club club.  Partner should be able to place me with the spade J for declarer's play of the King, so after winning the club he can get out with a low spade.  At this point I can continue with a spade, giving a meaningless ruff/sluff, but also giving declarer the losing option of ruffing in dummy and taking a losing diamond finesse.

Close enough. The entire hand:

 

[hv=n=sk3hkqxxxxdxxcjtx&w=sqt8742hatxdxxckx&e=saj9hjxdxxcxxxxxx&s=s65hxxdakqjtxxcaq]399|300|[/hv]

 

I think if you choose not to raise spades, that playing the J really puts pard in a box.

 

I had the other hand and overtook and tried to give pard an overruff. I can then get the return for -2, while I still control hearts.

 

The ruff / sluff was meaningful; -130 was far from a great score.

 

I like a return; where is the spade trick going? I suppose if declarer has Ax and solid diamonds, we are booked for a great score anyway, and there wont be much difference between -150 and -170.

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