Wackojack Posted November 27, 2006 Report Share Posted November 27, 2006 [hv=d=w&v=b&n=s1065hk105daq1052cj6&s=saq743h64dkjcaq87]133|200|Scoring: IMP Contract 4♠ by South with opps silent. Bidding 1♠-2♣-2♦-3♦-4♠Bidding was supposed to be BBO Adv, but that is another story.Lead 2♣, 6,3,7.fwiiw opps play standard leads. East I believe to be an expert player. West is not.[/hv] I failed to make this contract choosing a line that could have succeeded had I guessed the trumps right. Nevertheless I am not sure I chose the line most likely to succeed. Opinions on what is the best line and why? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1eyedjack Posted November 27, 2006 Report Share Posted November 27, 2006 Running a bit on instinct, getting to the bottom of the bottle of Yaldara Eastate Barossa, I voted for playing on Diamonds. A 3-3 Diamond break is below 40%, but the chances are that a defender with short D has the longer trumps and would be ruffing with a natural trump trick. Also, if the shorter Diamonds are with RHO all your options appear to remain open. You may yet have to go for Club ruffs, but I don't see the urgency. The weak trump suit argues for going for Diamonds. If they break 3-3 you are in a commanding position. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jikl Posted November 27, 2006 Report Share Posted November 27, 2006 Running a bit on instinct, getting to the bottom of the bottle of Yaldara Eastate Barossa, I voted for playing on Diamonds. A 3-3 Diamond break is below 40%, but the chances are that a defender with short D has the longer trumps and would be ruffing with a natural trump trick. Also, if the shorter Diamonds are with RHO all your options appear to remain open. You may yet have to go for Club ruffs, but I don't see the urgency. The weak trump suit argues for going for Diamonds. If they break 3-3 you are in a commanding position. To increase your chance of one of the opps using a natural trump trick you could cash the ♠A first. Sean Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Free Posted November 27, 2006 Report Share Posted November 27, 2006 I also like the ♠A... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1eyedjack Posted November 27, 2006 Report Share Posted November 27, 2006 Running a bit on instinct, getting to the bottom of the bottle of Yaldara Eastate Barossa, I voted for playing on Diamonds. A 3-3 Diamond break is below 40%, but the chances are that a defender with short D has the longer trumps and would be ruffing with a natural trump trick. Also, if the shorter Diamonds are with RHO all your options appear to remain open. You may yet have to go for Club ruffs, but I don't see the urgency. The weak trump suit argues for going for Diamonds. If they break 3-3 you are in a commanding position. To increase your chance of one of the opps using a natural trump trick you could cash the ♠A first. Sean I am expecting the hand with the long trumps to be ruffing the third round of Diamonds. In that event cashing the Spade Ace first does not appear to gain anything, but I am happy to be overruled. Cashing the Spade Ace first does appear to be preferable if the Diamonds happen to be 3-3 and someone started with S:Hx doubleton. But then, if the Diamonds started 3-3 I am pretty happy anyway. My main objection to cashing the S:A to start with is that it cuts down on options for ruffing Clubs, should the run of the Diamonds not work out perfectly. Possibly flawed reasoning, but as I say, running on vapour. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.