Free Posted December 13, 2003 Report Share Posted December 13, 2003 A hand I played last night in my local club. I play 6C and I get a club lead: AQ986386K4962 -AQ1075AQ7AKQJ10 So I start playing the percentage play: goal is to discard a heart on DQ, ruff 2 hearts and discard another heart (in my hand this time) on SA, losing only 1 heart unless they are 3-3 divided when I'd make +1.I play DK, DA and DQ and east ruffs! Change of plan... I overruff, and go for the Heart finesse. Hearts now have to be 3-3 and the King in front, or maybe 4-2 with the jack falling. Bam! HK in east and another club. I had to lose only 1 heart anymore, because they were 3-3 divided... I went one down. Even if I didn't overruff, I went down, because east had another trump. There was a winning play: start directly with HA and a small heart, because I have to ruff only one (3-3 divided) heart and then I have 12 tricks. This hand is a typical example of the fact that percentages are not always right! Would you have played my way, or the winning way? Free Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luke warm Posted December 13, 2003 Report Share Posted December 13, 2003 i think (at 6C) i'd lead HA, diamond to king, toss a heart on SA, low heart toward HQ/10, covering whatever east played (if i can).. sometimes east gets antsy and plays the HK if he holds it, sometimes west has K doubleton, but always i avoid a guess.. i have no idea if the percentages favor this or some other play Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trpltrbl Posted December 26, 2003 Report Share Posted December 26, 2003 A hand I played last night in my local club. I play 6C and I get a club lead: AQ986386K4962 -AQ1075AQ7AKQJ10 So I start playing the percentage play: goal is to discard a heart on DQ, ruff 2 hearts and discard another heart (in my hand this time) on SA, losing only 1 heart unless they are 3-3 divided when I'd make +1.I play DK, DA and DQ and east ruffs! Change of plan... I overruff, and go for the Heart finesse. Hearts now have to be 3-3 and the King in front, or maybe 4-2 with the jack falling. Bam! HK in east and another club. I had to lose only 1 heart anymore, because they were 3-3 divided... I went one down. Even if I didn't overruff, I went down, because east had another trump. There was a winning play: start directly with HA and a small heart, because I have to ruff only one (3-3 divided) heart and then I have 12 tricks. This hand is a typical example of the fact that percentages are not always right! Would you have played my way, or the winning way? FreeUnless there is a 100% play there is always a change that r percentage play isn't working :)That's why it is called % play hehehe But I would have played Heart Ace and go to dummy with the Di K and play a heart up. Maybe not best % play but that's what my feeling tells me to do. I have gone down before and I am sure I will go down again hehehe. Mike ;D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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