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Apollo81

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I have been in much worse grand slams, believe me. 62% for diamonds 4-3, and if only we had 10, it would make half of the times diamonds are 4-3 (K onside regardless of how many hearts LHO has).

 

With no 10 we also need hearts 3-2 or singleton king. As a consequence, this grand makes roughly 37% of the times diamonds are 4-3. Still around 20%, so much better than my requirements for a fine slam as some of you may know ;)

 

However, the grand is actually better than this, because sometimes you make it even if diamonds are 5-2 or worse. Then we need five heart tricks (hearts 3-2 with the king on).

 

I would be embarrassed if I bid a grand this good, and there is absolutely no reason to be disappointed if your opponents bid it against you! :(

 

Roland

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I have been in much worse grand slams, believe me. 62% for diamonds 4-3, and if only we had 10, it would make half of the times diamonds are 4-3 (K onside regardless of how many hearts LHO has).

 

With no 10 we also need hearts 3-2 or singleton king. As a consequence, this grand makes roughly 37% of the times diamonds are 4-3. Still around 20%, so much better than my requirements for a fine slam as some of you may know ;)

 

However, the grand is actually better than this, because sometimes you make it even if diamonds are 5-2 or worse. Then we need five heart tricks (hearts 3-2 with the king on).

 

I would be embarrassed if I bid a grand this good, and there is absolutely no reason to be disappointed if your opponents bid it against you! :(

 

Roland

SO Noble's slam doesn't even qualify as a Roland Slam?

 

Sheeshhhhh. :P :(

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I've seen worse.

 

My current teammates were in the finals of the GNT-C's about 10 years ago and lost by 6. One of the boards was a grand that needed two 3-3 splits and a onside King.

Afterwhich they had to endure both opp's praising their bidding system and each others' great hand evaluation skills .. :P

 

;) neilkaz :(

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My current teammates were in the finals of the GNT-C's about 10 years ago and lost by 6. One of the boards was a grand that needed two 3-3 splits and a onside King.

That's roughly 6% and therefore not even half as good as my average slams. Sure, I may bid one like this, but for some reason I am never among the 6 declarers that make it.

 

I am among the 94 needless to say. Very unlucky, the story of my life ;)

 

Roland

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My current teammates were in the finals of the GNT-C's about 10 years ago and lost by 6. One of the boards was a grand that needed two 3-3 splits and a onside King.

That's roughly 6% and therefore not even half as good as my average slams. Sure, I may bid one like this, but for some reason I am never among the 6 declarers that make it.

 

I am among the 94 needless to say. Very unlucky, the story of my life ;)

 

Roland

If one suit splits 33 doesn't that make another suit more likely to split 33 ?

 

I've never found any where with a mathematical proof of this or not.

 

TY .. neilkaz ..

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