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Cavendish 2006


Aberlour10

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My choice:

 

1. Fulvio Fantoni – Claudio Nunes

2. Geoff Hampson – Eric Rodwell

3. Waleed ElAhmady – Tarek Sadek

4. Bobby Levin – Steve Weinstein

5. Boye Brogeland – Ishmael DelMonte

6. Sam Lev – Jacek Pszczola

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Fulvio Fantoni – Claudio Nunes

Bobby Levin – Steve Weinstein

Marty Fleisher – Chip Martel

Gavin Wolpert – Vincent Demuy

Cutis Cheek – Joe Grue

George Jacobs – Ralph Katz

 

 

Fantoni-nunes must be feeling pressure! Mannn

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1. Zia Mahmood – Andy Robson

2. Bobby Levin – Steve Weinstein

3. Waleed ElAhmady – Tarek Sadek

4. Fulvio Fantoni – Claudio Nunes

5. Gavin Wolpert – Vincent Demuy

6. Bjorn Fallenius – Roy Welland

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My picks this year : play well guys - I want to see that 2nd Golden Imp award on my sideboard  B)

 

Go for it, Denis! but unfortunately there are no carry over

from the last year event <_<

 

 

:rolleyes:

 

Robert

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Given that the auction takes place today, I went and created a summary table describing the BBO forums consensus view. I gave each pair that was ranked first a 6, second place pairs recieved a 5... I then summed across all ranked pairs

 

Fantoni-Nunes 76

Hampson-Rodwell 50

Zia Mahmood – Andy Robson 47

El Ahmadey-Sadek 45

Levin Weinstein 44

Fallenius-Welland 25

Versace-Sementa 13

Lev-Pzsczola 10

Gavin Wolpert – Vincent Demuy 9

Stewart-Woolsey 7

Brogeland – DelMonte 6

Russ Ekeblad – Ron Rubin 5

Hamman - Lall 4

Marty Fleisher – Chip Martel 4

Alain Levy –Hervé Mouiel 3

Ferraro-Medala 2

Cutis Cheek – Joe Grue 2

Chris Compton – Mike Passell 2

Berkowitz-Pollack 1

Bruun – Fredin 1

George Jacobs – Ralph Katz 1

Crasen-Krekorian 1

 

It will be interesting to see how this compares to both the auction and the final results.

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Fwiw, Fantoni/Nunes and Versace/Sementa had an awful set together on vugraph last night. V-S had a bad misunderstanding on the auction 1 1 dbl rdbl 2. Versace was responder, and his double showed four or five spades. He thought the 2 bid agreed spades and he wouldn't stop returning to that suit until he finally got doubled (at the 4 level), but Sementa just had a good hand with 5-5 in the minors. They were extremely fortunate to escape for down 1 doubled.
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The auction results have just been posted.

Here are the top 10 pairs

 

I don't know the underlying auction system well enough to guess how well the sale price maps onto the expected value of the partnership. If this were a finance class, then the price/earnings ratio for all these pairs should even out. In actuality, emotions may very well run high

 

1. Mahmood-Robson

2. Fantoni-Nunes

3. Levin-Weinstein

4. Sementa-Versace

5. ElAhmadey-Sadek

6. Hampson-Rodwell

7. Lev-Pzszcola

8. Levy-Mouiel

9. Broegland-DelMonte

10. Fallenius-Welland

 

The price spread between number 1 and number 10 is $48K : 21K

 

Eyeballing the results, here's my take on the significant differences:

 

Overall, BBO and the auction agreed very closely regarding the top teams. The BBO and auction top 10 agreed on 4 of the top 5 and 8 of the top 10 pairs. Looking at the top 5 pairs, BBO's number 2 choice (Hampson-Rodwell) went in the #6 spot in the auction. Looking at the top 10 results, the main differences were at the margins.

 

BBO values Fantoni and Nunes significantly higher than the "smart money". Fantoni and Nunes scored almost 1.5 times as many points as the number 2 team. In the auction, Fantoni Nunes was the number 2 pair.

 

The smart money values Sementa-versace MUCH higher than BBO. Sementa-Versace went for 42K (1K less than F+N)

 

The "smart money" likes Zia-Robson much more than BBO who ranked them third. (I'll note in passing that Zia-Robson didn't even make my top six. Personally, I think that there is a lack of chemistry in this partnership. Z+R never seem to do as well together as I think that they should. There. I have pretty much guarunteed a first place for Z+R)

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From todays Cavendish Bulletin (hope its ok to post this....):

 

Changed Days, Indeed

by Sam Leckie

 

Most of you know of my success in naming the winners of

this event. I have been coming to this tournament for the

past nine years. Six out of 9 can’t be bad. I have surprised

even my modest self, but perhaps my greatest triumph was

a couple of years ago when WBP asked me not to name my

selection until after the auction as it could affect the prices.

Hell, did I not give you a complete profile of the winning pair

(Gitelman-Moss) the year they won?

 

The one pick I have never made in all these years is

everybody’s favorite player—Zia. I have always been of the

opinion that the method of scoring and other factors made

him a no-go and my judgment has been spot-on because the

best finish he has ever achieved was second place in 1998,

playing with Steve Weinstein. Believe me, even I could finish

runner-up playing with four-time champion Steve. This year

I feel is different. The other factors have been reduced (this

venue is an expensive taxi ride to the strip) and his teaming

up with Andy Robson (I swear, the kid is still growing!). A few

years ago they were a very successful partnership all over

Europe and the fact that Zia has gone to all the trouble of

reinventing it must be a pointer.

 

What finally decided it for me was an incident that happened

Tuesday evening. Zia was having a meal with a few of the

players when suddenly he announced he was going to bed.

The time was only 8:45 pm. This was surprising enough, but

the clincher for me was that all the other players actually

believed him!

 

http://www.thecavendish.com/2006/FRIBULL2006.pdf

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The "smart money" likes Zia-Robson much more than BBO who ranked them third.  (I'll note in passing that Zia-Robson didn't even make my top six.  Personally, I think that there is a lack of chemistry in this partnership.  Z+R never seem to do as well together as I think that they should.  There.  I have pretty much guarunteed a first place for Z+R)

The "smart money" has a longer memory than BBO - winning the Cap Gemini World top in both 2000 and 2001 is not indicative (to me) of a lack of chemistry :) That's why they got my No1 spot.

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Does anybody know what the "Rank" is or how it was assigned?

 

Entrants for the Cavendish Pairs 2006

 

Rank......Pair........................Auction Price (in $K)

 

Entrants for the Cavendish Pairs 2006

Rank Pair Auction Price (in $K)

 

30 Zia Mahmood – Andrew Robson $48k

3 Fulvio Fantoni – Claudio Nunes $43k

1 Bobby Levin – Steve Weinstein $42k

50 Antonio Sementa – Alfredo Versace 42

15 Waleed ElAhmady – Tarek Sadek 34

4 Geoff Hampson – Eric Rodwell 32

2 Sam Lev – Jacek Pszczola 29

49 Alain Levy – Herve Mouiel 25

5 Boye Brogeland – Ishmael Del’Monte 23

6 Bjorn Fallenius – Roy Welland 21

20 Steve Landen – Pratap Rajadhyaksha 20

7 Gary Cohler – Howard Weinstein 19

11 Piotr Bizon – Michael Kwiecien 17

13 Curtis Cheek – Joe Grue 17

16 Bob Hamman – Justin Lall 17

24 Chris Compton – Mike Passell 17

26 Drew Casen – Jim Krekorian 17

17 Alex Dubinin – Andrei Gromov 16

37 Marc Bompis – Jean-Christophe Quantin 16

33 Marty Fleisher – Chip Martel 15

22 Michael Cornell – Michael Rosenberg 14

27 Vincent Demuy – Gavin Wolpert 14

34 Neil Chambers – John Schermer 14

36 Fred Stewart – Kit Woolsey 14

38 David Berkowitz – Billy Pollack 14

41 Ton Bakkeren – Huub Bertens 14

9 Grant Baze – Gaylor Kasle 13

23 Peter Lakatos – Gabor Winkler 13

29 Russ Ekeblad – Ron Rubin 13

39 Bob Blanchard – Jeff Meckstroth 13

8 Seymon Deutsch – Paul Soloway 12.5

10 Richie Schwartz – Chris Willenken 12.5

12 Michael Elinescu – Entscho Wladow 12.5

14 Gilad Altschuler – Piotr Gawrys 12.5

18 Christal Henner-Welland – Michael Kamil 12.5

19 Amos Kaminski – Shaya Levit 12.5

21 George Jacobs – Ralph Katz 12.5

25 Zoltan Nagy – Bob Richman 12.5

28 Jill Levin – Jill Meyers 12.5

32 Franck Multon – Pierre Zimmermann 12.5

40 Sartaj Hans – Tony Nunn 12.5

42 Bart Bramley – Barry Rigal 12.5

43 Mathias Bruun – Peter Fredin 12.5

46 JoAnna Stansby – Lew Stansby 12.5

Auction Total: $821,000

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I got the top six in the auction. I guess that means their doom...

 

Three pairs from the top 6 of the auction finished the event

in 1-6 place last year.

 

Robert

But without the curse of The Saint hanging like the Sword of Damocles over their necks... ;)

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Round 1 results are now available at http://www.thecavendish.com/2006/PAIRS1S.TXT

 

Neither the smart money or the BBO prognosticators are distinquishing themselves.

 

BBO's favorites are in 17th (just holding their noses above water)

Zia - Robson are in 40th (out of 44)

 

Walid ElAhmady - Tarek Sadek / Bjorn Fallenius - Roy Welland also don't seem to hit their stride.

 

Grats to Del'Monte - Brogeland...

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EVENT LEADERS AFTER ALL

 

1 Huub Bertens - Tom Bakkeren

2 Geoff Hampson - Eric Rodwell

3 Gary Cohler - Howard Weinstein

4 Antonio Sementa - Alfredo Versace

5 Curtis Cheek - Joe Grue

6 Zoltan Nagy - Robert Richman

 

Four of the members have achieved 2 points (Rain, the saint, cardsharp, twcho)

[EDITED]

 

 

Robert

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