andych Posted April 5, 2006 Report Share Posted April 5, 2006 Should one be more aggresive?? You won much making a game. Losing 50/100 is not that matter. Analysis please :rolleyes: :lol: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gerben42 Posted April 5, 2006 Report Share Posted April 5, 2006 Well basically you are playing total points: Let's assume the question is to bid 4♠ or not.Not vulnerable if you bid it and make it: +420If you bid it and don't make it: -50If you don't bid it and make it: +170If you don't bid it and don't make it: +140 So you either win 250 points or lose190, which means you need 43% chance to make it to break even. Vulnerable you either win 450 points or lose 240, which means you need 35% chance to make it to break even. Now small slam:NV you either win 500 (980 to 480) points or lose 500 (450 to -50), so 50% is needed.V you either win 750 (1430 to 680) or lose 750 (650 to -100), so again 50% is needed. Finally GRAND slam:NV you either win 500 (1510 to 1010) or lose 1030 (980 to -50), you need 67% chance.V you either win 750 (2210 to 1460) or lose 1530 (1430 to -100), so again 67% chance. Just FYI :rolleyes: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickyB Posted April 5, 2006 Report Share Posted April 5, 2006 That assumes that you were making your part-score, and that you won't get doubled in game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gerben42 Posted April 5, 2006 Report Share Posted April 5, 2006 Right but this is the basic strategy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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