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Your bid please


What do you bid now  

45 members have voted

  1. 1. What do you bid now

    • Pass
      2
    • 1[sp]
      1
    • 2[sp]
      2
    • 3[sp]
      6
    • 4[sp]
      34
    • Other
      0


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Hum.. one of those funny hands with extreme length in both 1 suit and RHO's suit. In this case pard usually has some 66 in the reds and opps can't make squat.

 

However, since the hand is so low on hcp, it's surely not amazing that opps this time take some tricks in NT, even if pard has the red 66 or 75.

 

All in all, I'd honor the ODR of 8 and try 4 anyway. But wouldn't be surprised if 3 would turn out, for a change, to be more deadly than 4.

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I think 4 will be the popular bid at the table. If the opening bid was 1 or 1 i would agree. Given the 1 opening bid i think i will add an extra loser or two in the club suit, for 6-7 losers. That is too many for 4. So i believe 3 is the value bid. Remember, opener doesn't have 5 or 5 in all likely hood and you certainly don't think he has very many spades.. suggest a bad club break so you may not enjoy any long club trick.
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Even a little analysis in enuf on this one. 3 hcp, rho has at least 11, so 26 out there split between the three opps. If they can get you for down 4 then they are making six. While tempted to try 5S, I will adequately (mis)represent my hand with 4S and sit back and relax.
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I'll leave the over-analysing to Ben and bid a straightforward 4S.

Actually i fond of luis's double... but when you preempt vul, how many tricks short do you promise? I am aggressive and tend to use 5431. Down five not vul versus vul, down 4 not vul versus not vul, down 3 vul versus vul, and down no more than 1 vul versus not vul. This hand was vul versus vul, so how many tricks does your hand have? I see six spades. I suspect no clubs, or one club at most. Or stated another way, 4 club losers and 2 spade losers. So 4 is, as I stated the value bid and most will bid, but come on, you have two voids, don't you think whatever they bid (that is not spades) they might have some problems with? And a fifth club loser is a real possibilty, so 3 seems the right bid... well luises psychic double IS THE right bid, but lacking that, 3

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Even a little analysis in enuf on this one.  3 hcp, rho has at least 11, so 26 out there split between the three opps.  If they can get you for down 4 then they are making six.

A little more analysis would indicate that there are many, many hands on which you are going for your life and they can't make anything at all.

 

To take it to an extreme, give partner void AKQxxx AKQxxx x and tell me what they can make :blink: Or, to give the opps the (vast) majority of the hcp: give partner void QJ10xxx QJ10xx QJ.... they can't make anything.

 

That is not to say that you should pass: I bid 4. But I do so knowing that there is no way to know whose hand it is.

 

 

Pass is silly: it might work out but it risks so many things going wrong (including partner preempting in a red suit) that is can be dismissed out of hand.

 

1 and 2 bear no relation to your hand, and mislead partner while hardly inconveniencing the opps.

 

3 is tempting. Partly because it is a trick lower if you get doubled, but more importantly because LHO may have a heavy 4 bid and RHO a heavy pass: passing because he is concerned that his partner may have stretched: imagine RHO with a good hand and Kx.

 

But that is a narrow target: 3 leaves open 3N, and 4, as well as a negative double followed by a cue bid, and other possibilities.

 

4 is the most dangerous, but also the most non-insane bounce: it is tough to bid over and warns partner not to do anything based on any notional defence in your hand.

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Let me give you the full story. I bid 4, same as on 2 of the other 3 tables. Auction continued Double all pass.

 

Partner then turned up with

 

x

QTxx

AKQJxx

xx

 

Opps defended normally for -800 taking the 4 top and the 2 top . Double dummy you can beat it for -1100 if you lead the K from Kx (yea right).

 

Unfortunately the two other 4X tables didn't find the "deadly" defense - 2 down and 1 down respectively! The fourth table played 4X, making.

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