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High level decision


Guest Jlall

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Guest Jlall

You hold Axx KQx AT987xx ---. Red/White imps.

 

2 passes to RHO who opens 1C. You bid 1D, LHO bids 5C and partner Xs.

 

Some info... LHO is very agressive at these colors, partner is a very agressive Xer, and RHO is capable of opening quite light for a lead in 3rd seat. What's your bid?

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I bid 5 I don't like to leave potentially agressive doubles with a 7 card suit and a void in clubs. If they are good players they won't be bidding 5 to go for a number. 5 might make, or 5 might make so only when both contracts are down pulling the double is wrong based on that I think I have a good reason to pull.
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IMO the question to ask is what is this double? Basically, I would take it as a maximum pass card-showing let's not get stolen from type of bid with some kind of tolerance for diamonds. If I had to construct a hand, I'd guess something like:

 

Kxx, Axxx, Qx, J10xx or thereabouts.

 

I bid 5D, although a case can be made for bidding 6 in an attempt to drive the opponents into a save.

 

Winston

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Pass

 

Maybe we can make 5: if I had to guess, I would say we probably can. But we rate to go +500 on average on defence, and playing in 5, if we make 80% of the time, and only go -100 when we fail, we average less than +400. In imps, we are risking 12 imps to win 3.

 

And this is being generous since I would expect our upside to be +800 more often than only 300, and on a few occasions, 5 may be hopeless and doubled.

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I also pass. I expect partner to usually have more values in clubs than the hand that Winston suggests. If not, we are still going plus.

 

 

Ignore my comment if I got the hand wrong due to the difficult format.

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Guest Jlall
The winning bid was 6D (barring a double dummy lead). I tried 5D at the table, and confess my only choices were 5D and pass. Partner had JTxx AJxxx K JTx.
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The winning bid was 6D (barring a double dummy lead). I tried 5D at the table, and confess my only choices were 5D and pass. Partner had JTxx AJxxx K JTx.

You are fortunate: most partnerships don't play passed hand negative doubles at the 5-level when partner overcalls. :lol:

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The problem here is if pass is forcing or not. My teammates had a similar missunderstanding today, getting +300 instead of +2210, +1460 or even +710.

I'm not sure what you mean.

If partner had passed over 5C, of course that isn't forcing.

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The problem here is if pass is forcing or not. My teammates had a similar missunderstanding today, getting +300 instead of +2210, +1460 or even +710.

I'm not sure what you mean.

If partner had passed over 5C, of course that isn't forcing.

You can play it that way, but certainly when an opponent bids a contract he is obviously not trying to make, playing forcing pass might not be a bad idea.

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