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Nine tricks can be hard to get


Winstonm

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I play the A and another.

 

I think I need too much luck to bring this home without some good news in . I play the A first because the K may drop (unlikely but it has happened before in similar circumstances) and because I do not want to complicate the position in the suit. I suspect I am down if RHO wins this trick, but, then, I was almost certainly down no matter what I played. It is too much to hope for (as an example) 109 tight of on my right or 5 tricks.

 

If LHO wins the K, and plays a low , preserving communications, I can test the (note the difficulty I have if I have not cashed the A first). If they run, then I cash them, and decide in the endgame how to play the blacks, probably hooking the Q, but possibly coming to the A and hooking the

 

If the do not run, then I am going to need a miracle so I would play a low to the 10.

 

If LHO wins the K and clears , I can afford to run the Q, adding the suit to my possible source of tricks. The possible lines are numerous so I will not detail them.

 

If RHO wins the K, I am almost certainly down :)

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Doesn't matter much if you want to take finesses in what order you want to do it. If you lose one, LHO plays small to keep the communication, so either way you'll need some good positioning in all suits. A followed by to the Q gives imo the best chances at the moment.
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