Echognome Posted January 14, 2006 Report Share Posted January 14, 2006 Watching the Dutch Teams on vugraph, there was an interesting suit combination. You are playing in 3♦ after 1NT has been opened on your left. You have: DummyA9 DeclarerQ876543 How do you play for only loser in trumps? Adv+ please use hidden text. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Free Posted January 14, 2006 Report Share Posted January 14, 2006 On the moment Muller had to play the trumps, there was a lot more information available. There were only 7 or 8 HCP left between opps, but ♦K, J, T and small could be anywhere, knowing that LHO had at least 2... Perhaps full NS hands, and the play until the critical moment would be a lot more useful than just suggesting ♦K is with LHO. :unsure: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Echognome Posted January 14, 2006 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2006 In my opinion, that bit is completely extraneous Frederick. The most important bit is that LHO has 2+ diamonds. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luke warm Posted January 14, 2006 Report Share Posted January 14, 2006 not that i'm all that advanced, but i'd lead low to the ace and lead the 9 back... all 4/0 are dead once both follow, so now if rho follows to the 9 you're home by just covering (if not the king) whatever he plays.. if he shows out, oh well Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Jlall Posted January 14, 2006 Report Share Posted January 14, 2006 lead the queen. It loses when RHO has stiff king but gains against stiff ten or stiff jack Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trumpace Posted January 14, 2006 Report Share Posted January 14, 2006 LHO has atleast 2 diamonds. If diamonds are 2-2 almost any play will do. Running the Q works when RHO has singleton J or T.Playing low to the 9 works when RHO has singleton K. So I will run the Q. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luke warm Posted January 15, 2006 Report Share Posted January 15, 2006 i need to read the posts more carefully, i just looked at the combination not realizing lho has 2+ diamonds (the 1nt opening)... i also think free's comment is not without merit, especially how many hcp rho has shown up with so far, etc... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Free Posted January 15, 2006 Report Share Posted January 15, 2006 In case you don't know where HCP are: With 2-2 you always lose just 1 trick. With 4-0 split you always lose at least 2 tricks. So only 3-1's are relevant. Stiff 2 has no winning line: LHO covers whatever you play, and is still behind with KJ or JT high. So only the other 3-1 splits are important. RHO can have K, J or T, chances of every card are the same. So there's twice as much chance RHO has J or T, than he has the K. Conclusion is quite simple then: percentage play is the Q (let it run if not covered) and hope for 2-2 or 3-1 (stiff J or T). Sneaky LHO might want to confuse you by not covering, but that's his only chance if he has KTx or KJx. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Badmonster Posted January 15, 2006 Report Share Posted January 15, 2006 I think I'd play for the break, lead the ace, 9 to the my hand. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chamaco Posted January 16, 2006 Report Share Posted January 16, 2006 EDIT: remove this please :( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Echognome Posted January 17, 2006 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2006 Just to follow up, Justin, Trumpace, and Frederick all had the correct logic. The actual suit was: [hv=n=shda9c&w=shdkj2c&e=shdtc&s=shdq876543c]399|300|[/hv] By leading the Q you only have one loser. It seemed counter-intuitive to me at the time (as I would normally feel like leading small to the ace and then back towards the Q). However, once you know LHO has 2+ diamonds, the play is quite logical. Well done guys. (the Dutch declarer got it correct as well) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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