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icky decisions


Blofeld

  

30 members have voted

  1. 1. icky decisions

    • Pass
      7
    • 3S
      1
    • 3NT
      20
    • 4C
      2
    • 4NT
      0
    • 5C
      0
    • other
      0


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"This logic doesn't really hold. You can't use the size of their trump fit to work out how many total tricks there are when one of the contracts is 3NT."

 

LOTT does try to do this. Cohen and Bergen claim it works often but many may disagree and in fact the logic may not really hold up.

 

On this hand LOTT says total tricks in NT equal the number of hearts by opponents, assumed to be 9 since partner is assumed to be 4=1=4=4. You always add 7 (not 9) tricks automatically assuming 3nt will make. 9+7=16 total tricks.

 

16-9 tricks in 3nt equals 7 tricks in hearts.

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