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Just lead the best


Fluffy

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Good problem. Let's start, as all problems start, with the question: "what's going on?"

 

There is something odd about this sequence and I am willng to bet that West is not a north american expert :P I very much doubt that he has the values that a north american expert would require to double and then bid 2. My comment is not an implied criticism of usages elsewhere: just an admission that I don't know enough about standard expert treatments elsewhere of a double followed by a suit.

 

In any event, east is broke, and either 5=4 or 5=5 in the majors with, in the former case, 5=4=1=3 or 5=4=0=4 shape, while west rates to be close to 2=3=5=3 or 2=3=6=2 or 1=3=6=3.

 

Partner must hold 4 and at least 3 decent and extra values.

 

I would prefer better spots since I do not intend to give partner any ruffs. I am leading a trump to prevent declarer eloping with small ruffs of West's suit and dummy ruffing .

 

The next question is which trump to lead. I am leading the Q, although I can see good reasons for leading the small one. I think on balance the Q may be slightly better, but I would be easily persuaded otherwise.

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Funny hand. Either W does not have his bids (starting with the double) or we are not going to find this hand very amusing. E is clearly broke, but spades rate to be 3-3 (and 2 spades in W). The only hand which would make a kind of sense might be W holding something like Kx AJxx AKJxx xx : I would not double with this hand, but you never know what might happen.

 

Lead Q, and hope that pard hold QJ in clubs, and the AT at least.

 

PS: if W comes down with 1-3-6-3 or 2-3-6-2 I can just say I like this oppo :P

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I'm happy that all who posted shared my view that A was not the right. Nobody followed my dreadful lead who was even worse than , ,since it left declarer with no guess in .

 

The full deal (you will hate my partner, I know):

 

 

[hv=n=skxxhkxxdkxxcj10xx&w=sjxhaj109daj109xxcq&e=sa10xxxhxxxxdxcxxx&s=sqxxhqxdqxxcakxxx]399|300|[/hv]

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Dealer: South
Vul: None
Scoring: MP
Q73
Q2
Q64
AK752
  S - W - N - E

1-X -XX-1

ps-2-X-2

ps-ps-X-ps

ps-ps

 

What's your lead?

Geez opening this hand looks awful risky why not pass in first seat?

I thought AWM just taught us about risk aversion in the other post?

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<!-- ONEHAND begin --><table border='1'> <tr> <td> <table> <tr> <td> Dealer: </td> <td> South </td> </tr> <tr> <td> Vul: </td> <td> None </td> </tr> <tr> <td> Scoring: </td> <td> MP </td> </tr> </table> </td> <td> <table> <tr> <th> <span class='spades'> ♠ </span> </th> <td> Q73 </td> </tr> <tr> <th> <span class='hearts'> ♥ </span> </th> <td> Q2 </td> </tr> <tr> <th> <span class='diamonds'> ♦ </span> </th> <td> Q64 </td> </tr> <tr> <th> <span class='clubs'> ♣ </span> </th> <td> AK752 </td> </tr> </table> </td> <td>  S - W - N - E

1-X -XX-1

ps-2-X-2

ps-ps-X-ps

ps-ps </td> </tr> </table><!-- ONEHAND end -->

 

What's your lead?

Geez opening this hand looks awful risky why not pass in first seat?

I thought AWM just taught us about risk aversion in the other post?

I can live with the rdbl, but pass the 2 D and bid 3C over the 2H-p-p......

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