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Anticipating the other room


Echognome

How High Do You Go?  

30 members have voted

  1. 1. How High Do You Go?

    • 3NT
      12
    • 4NT
      17
    • 5NT
      0
    • 6NT
      0
    • Other
      1


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[hv=d=n&v=n&s=saxxhaqxdjxxxcaqx]133|100|Scoring: IMP

1NT(14-16) - 2

2 - ?[/hv]

 

Actually our auction was slightly different, but carried the same effective meaning. Partner had shown a 14-16 NT with 4 spades. We had actually shown 4+ diamonds along the way. (which may affect your decision to invite later on)

 

You're playing in an important team match and you know the NS pair in the other room is playing a strong club system. Thus, if partner has a 16 count, then they will surely be in slam. If he has a 14 or 15 count, then they might stop short.

 

You have two balanced hands opposite each other and they generally won't play that well. So do you:

 

Bid 3NT to play and hope that it's the right spot and perhaps you can gain imps if the other room gets too high?

 

Bid 4NT to invite partner to the slam if he's maximum. The idea being if partner has a 16 count, then we will likely be matching the result in the other room.

 

Bid 6NT because we are feeling frisky and besides we are looking at a combined 31-33 hcp!

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Playing a solid 1NT opening style, cnce we know partner has a 4-card major we then know he doesn't have a 5-card minor, and the chances of slam are very slim.

 

I would just bid 3NT.

 

If partner can have a 4225 16-count you probably needed some sort of shape relay.

 

A 16-count opposite doesn't mean slam will make.

 

KQxx

Kxx

KQx

Kxx

 

No jacks, nothing wasted, admittedly a 4333, slam is just with the odds (one of two 3-3 breaks or a squeeze) and a pointy 9 would make it very good. But now let's give him

 

KQxx

KJx

Kx

KJxx

 

and it's effectively playless

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Partner had shown a 14-16 NT with 4 spades.  We had actually shown 4+ diamonds along the way.

6 may be an excellent contact. I would set as trumps and make some cuebids to see if partner has a king in or .

 

After a 1NT opening I would bid 4NT, if not playing some minor suit ask or shape relay.

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If you know pard has 4 diamonds, along with his 4 spades, then slam is in order. Just bid 6 and concentrate on the play. :D

Concentrate on what play opposite

 

KQJx

Kx

Kxxx

KJx

 

I even gave him a 16 count, and there is no slam on. With some luck you will make 11 tricks, but it takes at least one revoke to make 12. I don't see any need to punt. In my bidding box there are a few cards (17 actually) between 2 and 6.

 

Roland

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Erm, Matt said that we'd shown our four diamonds. There's no reason to think that partner has four. Quite the contrary, in fact.

 

Count me in for 3NT.

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Strange, I misread the diamonds bit too.

 

You are talking about anticipating the other room, but you haven't given us any of the conditions of the match, so we don't know whether we should be trying to reach the same contract or a different one! Are we currently ahead or behind? Are we a fair bit stronger than the other team?

 

Either way, I think 3NT sounds right.

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-1 for 4-3-3-3 shape = not enough HCP for quantitative slam

 

Also, you have no running suit for extra tricks.

Where will your 12 tricks come from?

 

3NT makes easily, 6NT might possibly make but I think the odds are less than 1/3.

 

 

3NT

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Why fool around with "stayman" here? Seems silly.

 

1NT - 4NT in most modern world auctions. If you play ETM victory or some other sophisticated methods over 1NT you could check to see if parnter is hidding a five card major along first.

 

The method I like is the extended puppet stayman

1NT - 3 (SPADE ask?)

3 = four card spade suit (3NT would be five card spade suit, 3 no 4+

 

Over 3, only 4, I would bid a 4NT quantitative, and abide by his decision. Over 3, I would bid 3

 

If partner bids 3NT (promises five card major), I would bid 4

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If you know pard has 4 diamonds, along with his 4 spades, then slam is in order. Just bid 6 and concentrate on the play. :)

Concentrate on what play opposite

 

KQJx

Kx

Kxxx

KJx

 

I even gave him a 16 count, and there is no slam on. With some luck you will make 11 tricks, but it takes at least one revoke to make 12. I don't see any need to punt. In my bidding box there are a few cards (17 actually) between 2 and 6.

Roland, that's the worst case scenario. If pard has that hand with KT9x of trumps the slam is a good one and there is NO WAY to find out about pard's T9, even with all those 17 bids between 2 and 6.

 

In any case, there is an implicit message in what I wrote: if you use some kind of RKCB for diamonds below the 4NTlevel and find out pard has no Q, then you can stop in 5. There is obviously no need to shoot 6 STRAIGHT AWAY.

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Why fool around with "stayman" here? Seems silly.

<snip>

Well, I did mention that our auction was different, didn't I? I was just trying to keep it simple as to what our auction had shown.

 

Our auction was:

 

1(1) - 1NT(2)

3(3) - 3(4)

3(4) - ?

 

(1) Natural Clubs, Natural Diamonds, or 14-16 Bal (at this vul)

(2) Artifical Game Force (usually 13+ balanced)*

(3) Balanced 14-16 (starts Baron sequence if responder desires)

(4) Natural

 

*If responder has a single-suited or two-suited game force, he bids differently.

 

 

As per Mike's question, the state of the match is that you feel you are the stronger team, but it is a close match and only a few imps separate you at this point in the match.

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Why fool around with "stayman" here? Seems silly.

 

1NT - 4NT in most modern world auctions. And await your partners decison. However, if you play ETM victory or some other sophisticated methods over 1NT you could check to see if parnter is hidding a five card major along first.

 

The method I like is the ETM extended puppet stayman

1NT - 3 (SPADE ask?)

 

3 = four card spade suit (3NT would be five card spade suit).

 

Over 3 (showing 4, I would simply bid 4NT quantitative, and abide by his decision. If partner bids 3NT (promises five spades), I would bid 4 as RKCB for spades.

 

It wouldn't happen on this hand, but over 3, a bid of 3 denies 4+. Over that, I wold bid 3 asking for five card suit and showing slam interest. If he rebids 3NT (no 5), I would raise to 4NT again, if he bids 4 (five hearts) I will bid 4 (LTTC) and sound slam try since this auction includes slam try implications anyway. I would respect partner's decision over 4.

 

To learn more about the ETM victory over 1NT methods (which are very nice, but somewhat memory taxing) see... ETM One Notrump Structure

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Partner had shown a 14-16 NT with 4 spades.  We had actually shown 4+ diamonds along the way.

6 may be an excellent contact. I would set as trumps and make some cuebids to see if partner has a king in or .

 

After a 1NT opening I would bid 4NT, if not playing some minor suit ask or shape relay.

Agree with Peter once more ;)

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Mark Lair gave me some great advice years ago; he said to never get excited about Jxxx as trump support. So even the knowledge that partner has 4 diamonds doesn't do anyting for me.

 

And holding 33 HCP does not guarantee 12 tricks; it only guarantees that the opponents' won't have two cashing Aces.

 

I've talked myself into 3N on this group - making 6?

 

Winston

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3N

 

What persuades me to aim low is not just the horrible shape, but the fact that my only 4 card suit is Jxxx!

 

This hand is not worth the 17 hcp that Milton Work forces me to add to. Despite the fine controls (usually worth an upgrade) the sterile shape and lack of cards in what passes for my source of tricks makes me think (if forced to think in terms of pointcount) that this is about a moderate 16 count at best.

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Mark Lair gave me some great advice years ago; he said to never get excited about Jxxx as trump support. So even the knowledge that partner has 4 diamonds doesn't do anyting for me.

 

And holding 33 HCP does not guarantee 12 tricks; it only guarantees that the opponents' won't have two cashing Aces.

 

I've talked myself into 3N on this group - making 6?

 

Winston

I guess it wasn't clear from the post(s). *I* have shown 4 diamonds along the way, not partner. If I bid 4NT, he will evaluate *his* hand in the knowledge that *I* have 4+ diamonds. I don't see why we can call Jxxx support.

 

I tend to agree with the general sentiment here. My hand is a bad 17 and the spade bid turns it off even more. I'm not sure I could quite make the non-forcing 3NT bid, but perhaps 4NT to get partner involved makes sense. I agree with those that posted hands where 6NT has no play, but I'm sure we could also easily come up with hands where 6NT is fairly cold. I think it's a close call between 3NT and 4NT. I'm an optimistic 4NTer. (although in actuality I was an insane 6NTer who happened to get lucky. LOL)

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I'd like to investigate a bit more, before either signing off in 3NT or lobbing back the vball to pard. I'd assume there is some way in the system to furthe explore opener's distribution.

At worst (assume we are in a pick-up partnership, I would bid 5NT (which is a lil more invitational than 4NT - are we 100% sure that N will not read 4NT as RKC agreeing spades, btw? :) ). There is even the chance that pard has a brainstorm on this, and bids a 4-card minor at 6 level

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5NT should be forcing to 6NT and invitational to a grand, Kalvan.
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Hello everyone

 

I do like the three Aces, however, everything else about this hand is just plain ugly.

 

I have assorted slam methods over 1NT to find various type slams. They also carry a 'warning' that holding 'only' a combined 31/32 HCPs 'even' one jack in the hand is a possible 'warning' sign. Holding two or three Jacks is normally a 'Red' light.

 

Assuming that it was late in a match and I felt that we really needed a swing, I might trot out one of my 'toys.'

 

I have only asked a team captain one time 'if' he wanted us to swing. We were down 'big time' at the half way mark and the other team(three pros and crazy lady) had mopped up the floor with us in the first half.

 

He relied, "Just play bridge." The crazy lady's results returned to their usual silly scores and 'normal' bridge returned everything 'plus' a few more wining IMPs. :)

 

I have seen too many times where swinging(when a team was not really behind) pairs/teams just 'shot themselves in the foot.'

 

You made a lucky decision to just bash the slam. The percentage bid here is to bid 3NT or 'gamble' with some slam invite.

 

Regards,

Robert

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