Good contract, annoying lead

[Echognome]

[hv=d=n&v=n&n=sahakjxxdkqjxxcqx&s=st9xhtxdtxcakt9xx]133|200|Scoring: MP

1♦ - 3♣ - 6♣[/hv]

 

You bid to the excellent slam in 3 bids. North showed 17+ and south showed 6+ clubs with 2 of the 3 top honours and no A or K outside (rare but descriptive).

 

You are playing MPs so you know you will be against the field, so you better make your contract. Only problem is that the lead is a spade.

 

How do you plan to give yourself the best chance of making this?

[mikeh]

Without consuming the time I'd take at imps, it seems to me that you have to tackle ♦ now: and they are either 3=3 or 2=4, since surely west would lead one with a stiff, and I doubt that you have any realistic way of catering to a void.

 

I lead the ♦K: to make it psychologically more difficult for east to duck.

 

Against best defence (which is rare), I follow with a second ♦. I assume that West gave honest count, since if east ducked the first ♦, surely west has to be honest else east may go wrong.

 

Anyway, even if west shows an odd number, I plan to ruff the 3rd ♦ (if they duck the first, win the second, and play a 3rd) with the 10. If east has 4♦ and not the ♣J and found the duck of the K, then I pay off to good defence.

 

Now, this may look like 'easy' defence with that dummy, but unless one is playing in a known tough field, matchpoints is a game in which you will rarely do badly by underestimatingthe strength of (unknown) opponents :D And east may fear an overtrick if he ducks the first ♦: after all he knows that his partner has 2 or 3 cards in the suit.