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Play this slam (bid it first if you like)


EricK

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[hv=d=e&v=n&n=sa973hq72d865cj83&s=s4hak6dakq42cak64]133|200|Scoring: IMP

East/West will pass throughout[/hv]

You stumble into 6 and, after the J lead, you are releaved to see that dummy has some useful cards for a change.

 

What is the best approach to this hand (especially with regards to the suit)?

 

If you start to draw trumps, you will be pleased to discover that EW both follow to two rounds.

 

Eric

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I'll go with pulling trumps, then A and a club up. Makes if 3-3 or Q onside or Q stiff offside. Against weak opponents might try 8 if LHO plays low club in tempo.

 

You can try to improve chances slightly by playing a club towards the jack before pulling trumps, to add the additional chance of clubs 4-2 with the doubleton club with doubleton diamond. However, this also gives you the chance to go down when clubs are 5-1 with the queen onside, or when hearts are 6-1. I believe these things are likely enough that your overall chance of making actually gets worse if you don't pull trumps.

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It seems best to me to draw one round of trumps and then try to play a clubs to the jack. If the Jack loses to the queen, I draw a second round of trumps and then cash AK. The advantage over drawing trumps first is that I can make also with clubs 4-2 when the short clubs are in the same hand as the short diamonds (by ruffing the 4th club). When I draw a second round of trumps before playing a clubs, RHO can prevent this when he has 3 diamonds and four clubs to the queen by returning his diamond.

 

I pay off to some ruffs, but that does not seem as likely as someone having 4 clubs and 3 diamonds and RHO having the club queen.

 

Arend

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First you need to test trumps. If they're 4-1, then you have to hope for Qx with the singleton . If they're 3-2, I'd just take my (estimated) 65% chance in : 3rd round of trumps, cash s (you never know it helps locating some cards if the suit splits realy bad), next A and small to the J.
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