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Plan the play


nickf

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White vs Red, East did not overcall with his good suit, so both unseen Kings are more likely to be in West's hand. I will ruff with Q, if overruffed by King, easy for my following play; if it wins, i still play a small to Jack in order to keep Ace as entry to finesse twice.
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Cant afford wrong side K and a ruff at the same time.

 

So I just pitch a on the 3rd :

 

1) If west ruff, the K has to be on east. I'll play J from hand, hoping not a stiff K. Then after tried 3-3, finesse K is very likely to be successful.

2) If west duck low, then I will play low from hand, hook dummy's 9*. Knowing where is the K, I will try 3-3, if not, try catch K from the opposite direction.

 

*An extra chance here that if 9 wins, then I'll play AQ and the third . East has KTx now, there's no use to ruff the 3rd even he can, so i just safely ruff the 4 the , East can overruff as his final trick. Guessing on K is out of question.

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Throw a club.

if [di] is ruffed then I play for [he]K doubleton/singleton onside
else [di]Q wins then [he]J
[space] [space] [space] [space] if [he] finesse looses then [sp]3-3 or [cl]finesse
[space] [space] [space] [space] else [he]J covered then I win and play [he]Q
[space] [space] [space] [space] [space] [space] [space] [space] [space] if [he] 3-2 I can ruff a [sp]
[space] [space] [space] [space] [space] [space] [space] [space] [space] else low [he] and [sp]3-3 or [cl]finesse

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Cute hand. Unless I think my LHO is weak, I'll play him for the K. LHO has set up my Q unnecessarily. Furthermore, LHO can see that I'll possibly get a diamond pitch on the club, so cashing the AK was necessary if I was 2-2 in the minors - like the actual hand.

 

So I'm pitching a spade on the Q.

 

I don't have a 100% safety in the trump suit for 1 loser. So I'll just run the Jack from dummy hoping for K10 on.

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