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DO you or DON'T you?


mike777

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Sure, I'll bid 6. All I really need is for partner to have AK, AQ, and only two major suit losers. 4 already shows rather a nice hand, so I think this is quite likely. If partner has only AKxxx of diamonds, I'll need a bit of luck (something like diamonds 3-3 or clubs 2-2 or better diamonds or clubs from partner), but this isn't so unlikely, and the "better diamonds or clubs" part is quite likely.

 

Actually, I need even less: A xx AQJxx AQxxx and similar may be fine unless they work out to lead hearts (and if they do lead hearts, hey, maybe the 3S bidder does have the diamond K -- his partner has passed already). (I will need diamonds 3-3 or clubs 2-2 [or the diamond king onside], however, unless partner can produce the diamond 10 too.)

 

Andy

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I do (who did I just marry??). Partner is at least 6-5 in the minors for his jump to 5, perhaps even 6-6. I expect one of these hands:

 

x

x

AKxxxx

AQxxx

 

 

x

void

AKxxxx

Axxxxx

 

 

On a bad day it's on a finesse, when he has QJ instead of the king. On a very good day we miss a grand slam, when he is void in spades rather than hearts. And on a very bad day, we go down when he has

 

xx

void

AKxxxx

AQxxx

 

That would be very unlucky, would it not? Anyway, my partner has gone down before, so he is kind of used to it :)

 

Roland

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Good example of not worrying about how many hcp you have but, rather, how many working cards you have.

 

I have the best possible shape. xx of is better than x or xxx (better than x because xx increases the chances of establishing the suit, better than xxx, because partner is favourite to win the first 2 rounds by strength but need not hold AKQ). I hold xxx in , so the odds are that he has a stiff (and those odds increased with his no-fit jump), and I hold bonus cards (length and strength) in and a pure, no wastage A.

 

So count me in for 6.

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Would you bid 6C with only 1 good card? I don't think so, so surely 5S is an overbid, and I am not convinced it doesn't show a first round control. You do have 2 good cards, but bidding 6C doesn't deny that, and you could have a much better hand.
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I was the first one to raise to 6, but to be fair, partner could also have

 

x

x

KQJxxx

AQJxx

 

A perfectly normal jump to 5, so passing could of course also be right. I have a feeling that a few VG commentators would say "Oh no, how could he", when responder bids one more. Another example of how easy it is double dummy.

 

Roland

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