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Another first lead problem


jahol

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Still playing yound skillful pair sometimes bidding and making crazy contracts (as in my previous contribution). Nobody vulnerable, IMPs, this time you have:

 

KJ1074---A865---87--J9

 

Your RHO bid natural 1 diam, you pass (that was not me, I would have bid 1 spade for sure), LHO 2 diam (seminatural, without major suits, one round forcing), RHO 2 hearts (seminatural, denying spade stopper), LHO 2 spades (seminatural, spade stopper signalled), RHO 2NT (club stopper uncertain, almost denied or lower quality only), LHO 3NT. Your first lead?

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Spade King...because its a problem :) just kidding.

 

Seriously, I'm obviously leading a spade because I'm not smart enough to lead something else. We know LHO has a stopper and RHO doesn't. If it's AQ on my left my lead doesnt matter. If it's just the Q, he wont have four spades given the 2D bid. It might be Qxx in which case partner will likely have 3+ spades. If he does happen to have Ax, hopefully he will be bright enough to overtake and return one and the opps won't have 9 fast tricks. With Qxx lefty may not have been so quick to show a stopper anyways. More likely seems to be RHO having stiff Q. I'm not worried about the missing spade 9 as lefty wont have 4 spades.

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Too bad Justin always gets to post before me (must be a time zone thing) because he and I often agree :) K is clear: even if the opps are Qxx xxx, partner can duck, I lead the J and he returns a . He may as well duck, since he is playing me for an entry if he overtakes and clears the suit, and ducking alows me to show him my entry while not establishing a trick for the opps (who may have 8 cashers outside the suit.
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Too bad Justin always gets to post before me (must be a time zone thing) because he and I often agree :rolleyes: K is clear: even if the opps are Qxx xxx, partner can duck, I lead the J and he returns a .

Good point, declarer will always play the queen when you lead the K then J

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