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Can someone simulate/calculate this?


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Somehow tnx to a HD failure, I lost my simulation program. I have a new problem, so could someone help me plz?

 

What's the frequency of:

- weak (<11HCP or <5 SlamPoints*) with at least 5-5-

- 6 with exactly 2 of 3 tophonours (AKQ) OR 7+ with 3 (or 4) out of 5 honours (AKQJT) but not AKQ

 

(*) Slampoints: A=3, K=2, Q=1, singleton K/Q=0

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Somehow tnx to a HD failure, I lost my simulation program. I have a new problem, so could someone help me plz?

 

What's the frequency of:

- weak (<11HCP or <5 SlamPoints*) with at least 5-5-

- 6 with exactly 2 of 3 tophonours (AKQ) OR 7+ with 3 (or 4) out of 5 honours (AKQJT) but not AKQ

 

(*) Slampoints: A=3, K=2, Q=1, singleton K/Q=0

The probabilties of a given hand having:

 

1. 5+ and 5+ with <11 HCP = 0.5242%

 

2. 6 with 2 of top 3 honors and <11 points = 0.5705%

 

3. 7+ with 3 or 4 honors (not AKQ) and < 11 HCP = 0.2501%

 

4. Total of #2 and #3 = 0.8206%

 

 

Figures from Richard Pavilcek's deal generator, 100 million deals for each.

 

 

Later I will rerun with the SP constraints added--this reduces probabilities for all, but the relative probabilities will be similar.

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