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adhoc3

What's your choice?  

37 members have voted

  1. 1. What's your choice?

    • pass
      26
    • dbl
      2
    • 4NT
      9


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uhhh, gun, pills or a rope? (=dbl,pass or a 4NT) name your poison.... :)  .

All nice comments, but I love this the most.

 

The more you strugle the deeper you'll be traped.

 

Personally, I would score "PASS" the TOP, and 4NT "BOTTOM". I will follow the saying: "when you are fixed, stay fixed."

 

Both hand in real (never important, but for curiosity only:))))

 

x AKxxxx xx AKxx

Q Qx QJxxx QJTxx

 

4 Making

5 Making, Doubled

Any 5 of your own down.

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I'm another passer.

 

To me 4NT would also be takeout, but I wouldn't be certain that it was both minors. Could it not be one long minor and some heart support, looking to play in one of those two suits?

 

The problem with that is it would deny you the strong route to 5, if partner bid 5 over 4NT.

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:blink: With regard to the original question, I think it is worth counting the opponents' potential tricks in four spades. Oddly enough, my soft holdings in the minors look good for defense because (barring a real freak) it means they have only four potential tricks in the minors (AK and AK), and partner figures to cover at least one of those as well as the heart suit.

 

This means that to make four spades, they would probably have to score seven (possibly eight) spade tricks. Lots of ways for this to happen (if they are 5-5 in spades and there is a 4-2 or 3-1 holding in a side suit), but I think more where it isn't so.

 

Against this are our iffy prospects with a five level save. Bidding on does not make sense to me. Partner does, after all, have another bid.

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Nothin personal, Hannie :D  I do not doubt, for a moment, that the majority of posters (including you) bid 4N because to them it is clear that 4N is always takeout on this auction. My comments were intended to address a persistent aspect of this and similar forums. Some posters assume that bids mean what they want them to mean: that is, I am willing to bet that some readers/posters 'agree' with 4N as takeout on this post because they 'need' it to be takeout on the given hand and that those same posters (not you :D ) might, 6 months from now, on a different post, approve of 4N as keycard because they 'need' it to be keycard when I post Axx Kxxx KQJxx x on the same auction.

 

Have you not noticed the same tendency in (a minority) of posts on this forum?

 

Maybe I am just too cynical.

I didn't take it personally, don't worry, but I was quite surprised when I read your remark. Perhaps my reaction was stronger than it should have been.

 

Regarding your question, I haven't noticed this tendency, maybe I'm not cynical enough :blink:. I do notice a fairly large group of people who think that they know "the answer" to difficult bridge questions (an interesting phenomenon) but that is a different issue. Just to be clear, I don't think that you are one of those people.

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1. On the original hand, You have at least a likely 6-2 H fit and a probable 5-3+ fit in a minor.

 

2. You have no defence in terms of quick tricks - in fact zero controls.

 

3. If the opponents' bidding is an accurate reflection of their hands they have at least 9 trumps and if they also possess some distribution eg a singleton in each hand, there is every reason to suggest that 4S will be cold - and possibly more.

 

4. At the stipulated favourable vulnerability you are more likely than not to gain imps by bidding (it may make eg 2-6 (41) or provide a godd save or they may get to the 5 level going down.

 

5. if 4NT is t/o it is not a bad bid (by contrast a double "for takeout" at this level should stipulate some defensive values - not necessarily trumps).

 

6. THe strong hand given as the alternative to the weak 55: Axx Kxxx KQJxx x

 

is an excellent example of a high-level fit-showing jump eg opposite the perfecto of x Axxxxx Axx Axx or similar a grand is possible and with additional length in D and say slightly better H, he may wish to take the push over 6S anyway...

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