Opening lead

[kfgauss]

It would be interesting to see if Jack can analyze the outcomes in terms of board % at pairs, rather than total points.

 

Finally, one question: did you include 5332 with a 5 card major in the 1NT opener ?

I think this should be accounted for in the analysis.

 

Also, it would be fair to include for the 3NT bidder hands with 4333 with a 4 card major.

I'd love to get a result-by-result printout (ie how many times does ♥6 set 2 tricks? give up 3 overtricks? etc), but I don't have this capability. Jack seems only to play IMPs (or total points really).

 

I think Jack includes all balanced hands in its 1N openers, but I'm not actually privy to that information. I also can't make it include all 4333's in its 3NT bids.

 

Best,

Andy

[Chamaco]

I think Jack includes all balanced hands in its 1N openers, but I'm not actually privy to that information. I also can't make it include all 4333's in its 3NT bids.

 

Best,

Andy

Hi andy,

if Jack can read pbn files, I can send you a pbn files with, say, 500 or 1000 files that satisfy the constraints I mentioned (e.g. including 5332 with 5cM for opener and 4333 hands with 4c major for responder).

 

This way you could rerun the test including those hand-types.

In the real world, 5332 major 1NT opening and 4333 with responder's hand are frequent enough to shift by some amount the outcomes of the simulations.

 

If you are interested, send mail at

 

m_casadei67*REMOVETHIS*@tin*REMOVETHIS*.it

[han]

Hi Andy,

 

I was wondering if you could run the exact same experiment 3 more times and post the data. It would be nice to see if the numbers you get are the same. It is hard for me to judge whether 1000 hands is a large enough data-set.

[Al_U_Card]

1NT-3NT....always lead a major! Spade at MP and small Heart at IMPS.

[cf_John0]

Assistant leading Heart 6 or 7!

[mike777]

[hv=n=skj3ha853d832cq84&w=s9752hq76dt974cj3&e=sq64hkt2dj5cat952&s=sat8hj94dakq6ck76]399|300|[/hv]

 

Here is the hand.

 

I lead T of D.

[mikeh]

Proving what?

[mike777]

Small errors in the beautiful and simple inputs of expectations create deformed outputs. Only after extensive surgeries does an "optimal" result appear.