Tatung42

Thanks for the replies. I am pretty sure that my line of play would work against even a 5-0 trump split? I can flush trump with the 5 trump in south's hand, either after setting up the 4th club (In the case of a 3-3 split) or after trumping the 4th club with north's trump (in the case of an unbalanced split). My line of play wouldn't work against a bad trump split if the hand with the long trump is also the hand with the short clubs, but it would also lose in this case even with a 3-2 trump split. Ok thanks, that is why i said "about a 32% chance", I knew it was a little bit less, but I didn't think it would be 9% less. I didn't have an easy way to calculate it. What simulator do you use? I've been looking for something to do calculations like this. I am curious what % of the hands does the dummy reversal strategy go down more than 1 trick due to a bad trump split? If it is more than 9%, my strategy would still be superior in MP right? In IMPs the "dummy reversal" would always be the superior strategy.

I would like to discuss this hand that I saw on a bridge puzzle webpage. South is playing at 7♠. [hv=pc=n&s=sak987hakqd5cak54&w=s32hjt98dkqjcjt98&n=sqjth432da432cq32&e=s654h765dt9876c76]399|300[/hv] The only way to make the contract is to do a "dummy reversal" where you ruff north's three diamond losers before pulling trump. The webpage suggested that the dummy reversal is the correct way to play the hand. However, if I were playing the hand without being able to see east and west, I would play it as follows: - Draw two rounds of trump. - Play clubs and hope that they break 3-3 - If clubs do break 3-3, I would pull the last trump, then win the 4th club trick for my 13th trick. - Even clubs don't break 3-3, there is still a chance that I can trump the 4th club for the 13th trick, if the player with the short clubs also has the short spades. I have a about a 36% change of clubs breaking 3-3. Then I have about a 32% chance that the player with the short clubs also has the short spades. This gives me about a 68% chance to make the contract. The "dummy reversal" method also has about a 68% chance to make the contact because it fails if trump are not split 3-2. But when it fails, there is a chance to go down two (or more) tricks because the person with long spades could potentially also have the long diamonds and win extra tricks. Does anyone agree or disagree with my assessment? I just get annoyed by these bridge puzzles, where the “correct” way to solve the puzzle is not the correct way to actually play the hand.

I have had so many games where I lead from 4th best from my long suit when defending no trump. GIB will win a trick and then lead back some random suit when all I needed was a lead back of my suit to defeat the contact. Am incorrectly signaling it somehow to change suits? Is 4th best from my long suit not a standard lead for GIB? Edit: Anyway to edit the typo in the post's title???