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jjbrr

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Everything posted by jjbrr

  1. INSUFFICIENT DATA FOR MEANINGFUL ANSWER
  2. Rain, [&spoiler]your message but remove the & in the first bracket Yes, I agree it is a problem. Like I said I completely forgot about Tysha and didn't realize it's a big deal, but it's huge in the books. The attack of the Others at the Fist was also a big deal in the book and we were provided no details in the show, so there's a huge gap in how much the audience knows.
  3. I hope lots of heads rolled at the New York Post. They put on an amazing display of reporting on Monday.
  4. Kenberg, as someone whom I've always respected for seemingly endless life experiences and cherished stories, can you explain why you think a person should be scared of an event that is both astronomically unlikely to occur and completely unreasonable to prevent? I mean, in your experience doesn't the good in life outweigh the bad to such an extent that it's unhealthy to be affected by something like this physically, emotionally, or psychologically? Would society not benefit from ignoring the doom and gloom BS fed to them by the media and start focusing on how great life is? What exactly is there to be afraid of, in your opinion, and why do you think it's justified?
  5. No spoilers I'm not a fan of how Tyrion interacts with Shae in this season at least and probably last season but I don't remember being so peeved about it. I know he's supposed to be overcome with emotions and what not, but they've made him too mollified and beta, as if he's suppliant to Shea, which imo is not at all in line with his character. It would never have occurred to me to describe him as whiny and pitiful, but he certainly demonstrated some of those qualities in the last episode.
  6. http://i.imgur.com/ZsopfrD.gif Happy birthday, ArtK!
  7. http://i.imgur.com/ZsopfrD.gif Happy birthday, Aberlour!
  8. jjbrr

    Pi Day

    so today is like reddit's 4/20?
  9. OK, do you predict Carlsen will ever outrank the #2 by more than 125 points? Double the amount he currently outranks Kramnik edit: some xpost with jlall
  10. Didn't mean to troll. My chess knowledge is very limited. So you're extrapolating that '72 Fischer with 2013 technology would still get curbstomped or are you just saying that 2013 chess is so more advanced than it was several decades ago?
  11. so is carlsen the GOAT?
  12. And sorry for the baseball derail. We could just as easily talk about advanced NFL stats and forget about baseball, but it was convenient to use baseball as the example given the massive amount of data available in baseball.
  13. This is almost certainly the most extreme example they could find, but if you believe the discussion about the role of defense in the primer I posted, it seems that in most cases the pitcher's dependence on the fielders is significant enough that it must be included if you want to isolate the pitcher's true contribution to the team: http://baseballnewshound.com/?page_id=1436
  14. but maybe a true soccer fan should be interested in these stats. a quick google search led to an article "Which Goals Matter? The High Value of Transition Play in the Premier League" in which they analyzed win/point probabilities of different types of goals (fast break, corner kicks, set plays, open play) and reached this conclusion: The results are pretty obvious, if you ask me. By far, the most valuable goals in the Premiership are goals from fast breaks. That's kind of interesting to me! And if I can run those sort of analyses myself, I can offer some pretty interesting insight when I'm chatting with friends.
  15. i'm going to shamelessly steal this from another site. and this post is from 2008, so the dates/players are less relevant now, and advanced stats has come a long way since then, so it's gotten even better since then.
  16. because it gives real sports fans something to debate and discuss beyond the casual "messi just shows more heart than anyone else" type arguments that don't mean anything and aren't based on anything. because statistics can help predict future performance. because seeing various statistical anomalies can provide interesting dialogue. to give an accurate and consistent representation of how X player compared to Y player over a period of time in a meaningful way. if you're willing to study them and understand them they certainly make sports better, not worse.
  17. big spoiler certainly a possibility. so when is 6 out? is like summer 2014 feasible? i think i heard he wont announce a deadline because he wants to get it right, but maybe you wizards can dig up more info than i
  18. http://i.imgur.com/Zjwo4.gif
  19. I strongly think you could get a knee or elbow to the face of enough of them before you allow them to swarm you that 7 simply aren't a threat. I also think any strategy that involves picking up one of the attackers either to throw him or to use him as a weapon is hugely -EV.
  20. i'm not so well versed in advanced stats. is choking statistically significant and who are guilty?
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