
hotShot
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hotShot last won the day on March 12 2011
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The EU has some problem with the Brexit. A non member should not have better conditions than a member. The is such a non member: Norway. Norway is not an EU-Member but it pays as if it was, accepts the EU regulations and allows EU citizens free access to work. For this it is granted access to the free market. What Norway has given up as a non member is to be part of the EU decision making. Britain's vote made it clear they don't want to pay , they don't want the EU regulations and they don't want EU citizens to come an work in Britain. But they want free access to the common market. There are about 60 Billion € that Britain had agreed on paying for future projects prior to the Brexit vote. There are EU citizens in Britain and British citizens in other EU countries. One would have expected that those who wanted the Brexit would have a plan or better a suggestion how to solve those issues. A pessimistic EU would expect that a hard Brexit means no more money from GB, and lots of people coming home. So they want that solved first.
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A first step could be to put a flat-screen on each side of the screen and display the the bids made and the cards played. This would eliminate all kinds of placing the cards or finger signals. Using bidding cards and decks with RFID chips and putting detectors on the table should be no problem. So you could keep the tactile aspect and still get a perfect electronic record. This record could even record a timestamp so you could analyze variation in timing. Statistical analysis of all deals played at top level would provide data about what range of deviation can be considered usual.
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IRC the distribution has been more distorted towards Experts a few years ago. So I think things have improved.
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http://www.ebu.co.uk/masterpoints (End of the Page)
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Today "Greece" got a loan of 7,1 Billion € They should be happy, shouldn't they? I mean who cares that 4,2 Billion got to the EZB (intrests) , 2,05 Billion to the IWF and 0,5 Billion to other Banks.
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Funfact: Germany is making money from transferring money to Greece, because it can borrow cheaper than it loans it to Greece. Let us not forget that the reason for the state dept crisis was saving the banks after the subprime-crisis. The reason to save Greece 5 years ago, was to save German and French banks and pensions-fonds who was massively involved with Greece dept. Now all European taxpayer have to cover the loss. Economists outside of Germany often wonder why Germany is such a firm believer in austerity. I think the reason is that more than half of Germany's GDP is generated through export. So if the German government is doing some saving, half of the GDP is uninfluenced by that.
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Depends on what you mean by "managing the economy", the government enforces some rules for business esp. regarding product safty or laws. The problem is that the intended impact of rules is sometimes missed by the reality.
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Even it you knew the IP-Adresses, this would be no evidence as many providers use proxies and people who don't even know each other could get the same IP.
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How do you know for sure the person is using 2 Computers?
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You are aware that of this 350 billion euros, 90% (= 315 billion) were used to save European banks, insurances and pension fonds (outside of Greece), which leaves 35 billion euros for Greecewhich were mainly used to save the Greece banks. If Greece went bankrupt 5 years ago, people who had been saving money for their retirement would have lost a lot of money and they would have know why. Now that the debt was transfered to the ESM. IWF and EZB a bankrupt Greece is no longer a threat. People will still lose the money, but they will lose it over inflation and taxes. The direct connection between cause and effect is camouflaged, the governments won't have to take the blame for it.
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Am I? Lets see: In 02-15 the official Number of unimployed people was: 3.017.003 But you need to add: 341.199 [1] + 454.663 [2] So th real number of unemployed people was 3.812.862. [1] people the "Bundesagentur" gave up to get into a job because they are old [2] people that are in a training program or ill For further reading i suggest: http://finanzmarktwelt.de/die-tatsaechliche-arbeitslosenquote-in-deutschland-10577/ Additionally there are 1.268.000 people that are "Aufstocker". Aufstocker means they have a Job, but need additional funding from the state to reach the minimum income to exist. ( http://www.sueddeutsche.de/wirtschaft/arbeitsmarkt-der-mindestlohn-wirkt-1.2530726 ) 3,8 Million + 1,2 Million is 5 Million. Now take a look here: http://www.faz.net/aktuell/wirtschaft/arbeitslosigkeit-konjunktur-zu-schwach-fuer-den-arbeitsmarkt-1175275.html June 2004 the official number of unemployed people was: 4.233.400 This is the last number without the Hartz-IV Reform. Now if you call this a success, i disagree with your view. Did you read that: http://www.zeit.de/2013/48/werkvertraege-bmw-leipzig-autoindustrie The productive industrie uses "Leiharbeit" (labor leasing) and "Werkverträge" (service contract with one-person-businesses) to introduce low wages. I assume you have a good job, because your attitude implies that you think that people have a choice to pay more. Social security grants about 4,30 € per day for an adult for food and (non-alcoholic) drinks. Don't forget that any spices you might want to use are included as well. I am interested how you get fair produced clothes an shoes with 32,85 € per month (you need to save that money if you whant something that costs more). While you are shopping remember that your budget for transportation is 24,62 € per month and you might need a lot of this to report to the unemployment agency. If you have a car, this is what you can use for gas and repairs. Regarding the 90% of the world population, granted there are countries where 4,30 € per day is a lot of money, the problem is, you can't go there, you need to buy at the local shops. So this is rhetorical bullshit.
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The problems between the Eurozone and Greece goes deeper. Greece still does not have the kind of administration required e.g. to collect taxes. The "one size fits all" solution that kind of worked for Ireland, Portugal, Spain and Italy, could not work properly in Greece. The decisions made 5 years ago did not work as intended. Even the IWF admitted that. Politicians don't like to state their failure, especially if they are 72 and under attack by some young smart-arse. Actually the German and European economic and financial policy of the last 20-25 years have not been a success story. In Germany somewhere between 1/5 and 1/4 of the jobs are paid so little, that the employees won't get a pension that is at least the minimum income to exist. To reach that a minimum wage of 10,50€ per hour in a full time job for 45 years would be required. The official minimum wage is 8.50€ and the list of exceptions is miles long. Turning Germany into a low-wage country has put a lot of pressure on the other European countries, e.g. France has a minimum wage of 9.53€. Years of reducing the unit labor cost have a deep impact on the state as its main tax income comes from taxing wages. The social security systems financial base is also bound to wages. This was ok 50 years ago when wages where a good measure for surplus values, but now with robots doing a lot of work, this is no longer true. Europe will have to find a way to equalize economic and social standards within the EU. This is not because of the small economy of Greece, it will somehow be managed. It is because the Eurozone will fail otherwise.
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At this point, the science people are discussing if the "hiatus" is an artifact caused by the low density of measurement stations it the arctic area. Some argue that the process to combine the stations results worldwide, puts to little weight on the arctic stations, so that the "gross" temperature rise there, is an underrepresentation. Putting a little more weight on them and the pause in climate change is gone from the trend.
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Why are computer not better than they are at bridge?
hotShot replied to lackeman's topic in Expert-Class Bridge
Being good at chess is/was associated with being intelligent. Building a chess playing computer that could beat the best was good advertising for Soft- and Hardware. A human bridge player uses several methods to gain information: 1) Bids and plays an opponent/partner actually made 2) Bids and plays an opponent/partner did not make 3) Experience on former hands played (bidding style aggressive or cautious, playing strength ) 4) Body Language / Timing issues (probably less in WC games) One can only make one bid, but that leaves a lot more bids not made, so there is a lot information in 2). It is hard enough to write down a system description defining what the bid and various sequences show, it's almost impossible to write down all the hands that are totally unlikly once a bid/bidding sequence is made. Algorithms rely mostly on 1) only a little on 2) and consider 3) by not trusting opponents and partner to much. So there is a chance that playing WC opps is easier for the software since they are more reliable. I see 3 ways that could improve bridge programs: 1) Finding a better way to "explain" biddingsystems, lead conventions and signals to the program 2) finding a different algorithmic approach 3) Introduce real AI-elements like neuronal nets or machine learning etc. to the software I don't think that computational power is the problem, it's money. Take a few experts in probabilistic evaluation, artificial intelligence and software development and some 5-10 years of time and I'm pretty sure they will come up with something that is (much) better than what we have now. -
Mobile version 3.85 feedback Thread
hotShot replied to alanrick's topic in Suggestions for the Software
I tried the Android-App and it seems to work fine most of the time. I played about 40 boards in the Anonymous mode, with the default settings. During the play of one board, the animated card I played from dummy, moved over to my side (ending in a position just above my cards)) and the play stuck until i played another card from dummy. After that the displaced card reappeared in dummy's hand. My Huawei Phone (Android 4.1.2) has very fast energy saving mode (default setting). So the screen shuts off watching vugraph and I need to tap on the screen every few seconds to keep the display on. This also happens when your are dummy on a regular table of have to wait for the next round. The Videoplay-App can keep the display on even when your not touching the display, it would be great it that was possible to do that in the BBO-App too, especially if you are sitting at a table or watching vugraph.