BunnyGo

Yes. I double.

I agree that WBF site seems hard to use. I've found this site: http://www.swangames.com/magic/magic/www.p...h=0000000000111 To be very easy to use and cross-reference--and for the teams I wanted to follow that weren't on vugraph I could get up to the minute updates.

I don't see how we ever lose when it is 3-3 with the K onside, whether we play the J or not. Am I missing something? Otherwise, this analysis seems pretty good.

I do not know why GIB does this, but I have learned to be wary of its bids in situations like this---it does not seem to always have the distribution that its bids say it does (I do not know why it isn't easy to program the computer to actually have 5+ clubs and 4+ hearts or to make a different bid).

Can certainly double if opponents bid to 4♥. But bidding 5♦ ("after opponents find their 10 card heart fit") is bad move. For starter, from the bidding you can never be sure of the 10-card fit... I agree...I was simply pointing out that there is no need to blast to 5 diamonds now; if one wishes it can be done later (but I personally would double and lead the spade).

How unreasonable is it to find a singleton heart with partner? It's not the percentage bet. Think of it this way, he has 6 unknown cards, and so the expected number of hearts is 2. However, since you have long clubs and spades, it's not actually evenly divided, and so I'd be surprised to find partner with a singleton. In particular, if he does have one, then you can definitely consider doubling hearts and leading a spade, or bidding 5 diamonds after the opponents find their 10 card heart fit.

I'm a believer in taking plusses at matchpoints--especially when we get a favorable lead in a top contract (unless someone makes a grand). I play for the drop of Norths queen. If I'm right, I'm beating every grand slam (and every non 6NT contract--and maybe even some of those). If I hook and am wrong I'm losing to basically every other table.

I couldn't sleep tonight (as I'm posting at 5 AM local), so I went online to waste time with BBO randoms (hoped it would bore me to sleep). Then the following occurred. This qualifies as interesting as it is spectacular how many things go wrong.[hv=v=n&n=skqt53hjt82dqjtc8&w=saj96hk4d75cjt965&e=s7ha5dak9643ckq43&s=s842hq9763d82ca72]399|300|Scoring: IMP The bidding is too awful to mention but the contract is 3NT by West[/hv] On the lead of the Jack of hearts, one might be tempted to win, and play on clubs to take 4 club tricks, 2 diamond tricks, two hearts and a spade. My partner decided to win the K, cross in diamonds, and take a spade to the J and Q (who knows why). The opps now cleared hearts, and when my partner now led a small club, south jumped on the trick and led the Q of hearts. which is where the next spectacular event occurred...north didn't unblock which makes the hand cold as the cards lie (again)--partner pitched the spade six. On the next trick, we have another twist of fate when the heart led got my partner to pitch his long club...seems like he's going down again (at least single dummy). However if you look closely, you'll notice that north has every spade and diamond honor, so really my p was being fancy and trying to make on the squeeze. He won the King of spades return and played three clubs ending in the west at this position[hv=v=n&n=skqt53hjt82dqjtc8&w=saj96hk4d75cjt965&e=s7ha5dak9643ckq43&s=s842hq9763d82ca72]399|300|Scoring: IMP The bidding is too awful to mention but the contract is 3NT by West[/hv] The squeeze has worked, it's a single-dummy miracle, but you guessed it....he plays his diamond, because of course he hasn't been watching all those high spade pitches. I was flabbergasted at the end of this.

LOL, I was thinking the same thing. How in the world did this morph into a FP discussion in the BI's? Speaking of, how does one decide whether to post in B/I vs A/E? I'm never sure where to post my questions, so I usually default to B/I just because.

I particularly like that even after blocking the diamond trick, with 3 tricks to go the robot just had to endplay West; instead took a line which seems to only work if West has exactly K ♠ T ♣ and J ♥. Not terrible, but seems against the odds.

It's a lame attempt, because in Han's notation a singleton is described as "1", not "x"... So this hand has only 10 cards, bleh! Yeah, I'm still not sure how I feel about Han's notation; in particular when I wrote "3" (which was the spot of the x) that was clearly wrong, and when I wrote "1" that just felt weird so I mixed notations. Dunno. As for what happened, here's the hand:[hv=n=sjt653h4djt873ck9&w=sa987hq5d9642cj72&e=s42h92da5caqt8654&s=skqhakjt8763dkqc3]399|300|(P)-P-(3♣)-4♥; (5♣)-X-(P)-5♥; AP[/hv] The crowd was correct, I should have sat and lead a spade (or diamond).

Yeah...it almost matches my worst MP game ever. Somehow while actually trying to do well I managed a 27.5% game. Must have been a lot of hands like this.

[hv=n=sq3ha765d9642ca43&w=s9654h9432da8ckj9&e=skt87hjt8dt753c87&s=saj2hkqdkqjcqt652]399|300|1NT-2♣ 2♦-3NT[/hv] Thanks for the input, glad to hear how different people evaluated the hand. As you can see, I decided to open 1NT and found a big enough hand with partner to not even be invited. Sadly, on the spade lead and terrible club positioning, I couldn't avoid 2 club losers, 2 spade losers, and one diamond loser (maybe a better player could have, but I don't see how).

assuming g=beginner forum...easy 1nt 16-`18 No, decent players using a 15-17 NT range...it may be worth bidding 1NT anyways.

[hv=d=w&v=b&s=skqhakjt4dkqcx]133|100|Scoring: IMP (P)-P-(3♣)-4♥ (5♣)-X-(P)-??[/hv] Do you agree with 4 hearts? What do you bid this time?

Second seat all red: AJ2, KQ, KQJ, QT652 What do you bid?

I do not think Fred said anything about trump length having been shown. Fred, would your rule also apply if we had 9 trumps and RHO had, say, opened a weak 2 and marked the distribution in a suit that way instead? (ie 6 opposite 4 = guess) This is the correct way to count. His assumption is that 4 trumps are shown and trump Q is missing. The magic number of 2 is just due to the shown trump number difference, which is also 2. The other number 2 rule case is the 10 trumps case, suppose your LHO gets a ruff and plays low under your Q, should you drop or finesse K? This is also determined by the side suit shown cards difference. I'm a little confused. For deciding "odds" shouldn't it also matter how many cards remain to be played? Or does that simply determine how much of an advantage these observations give you?

If I could ask about the continuation to this auction as it happened. What do you do here?: P-(1♦)-P-(1NT); X-(P)-2♣-(X); ?

I must be missing something more likely...maybe the bidding would make the line I found a higher percentage line. The idea is hidden: This seems too unlikely to be the correct answer, but I'm not sure what else there could be.---I just re-read the hand, and realized that I'm not in 6 spades--I guess the plan for 5 spades is similar in spirit, but not nearly as unlikely.

[hv=d=n&v=e&s=s8642h9daqj76c653]133|100|Scoring: MP 1H-(1N)-AP[/hv] What do you lead here? Why? Do you lead something different at IMPs? What about if the auction were: 1H-(1N)-P-(3N)-AP? (even though the deck would seem to have 45 points)