I was the declarer in this board. And after 1st round of trump had a very difficult time which line to choose. I thought the elimination or combination (try Clubs first, double hook in Hearts if it lost) line are very close and tough to calculate exact odds. (Especially at early morning:-) I had a bit more information than u have: I was at the table. And I strongly believe that information (LHO is a very good player but isn't professional, could't hide his feeling; I know him very well) is helpful a lot, so thats why I chose the combination line, what is slightly worse than elimation - in armchair. May be. Or may be not:-)