D4rw1n

Their disagreement would seem to come from the fact that Rainer doesn't want to play at the three level, (if you need to go that high you might as well take a shot at 4 because that you can do without giving information) but Rik finds it acceptable. If we start worrying about information leakage, we should get the advantages to all our 1M - 2"M" sequences, because it's not worth it to transfer the problem away from drury just so that it exists somewhere else. One way to do that is Pass - 1M - ? 2♣ = 8-9 points, 3+SUPP 2♦ = 10-11 points, 3+SUPP 2M = 6-7 points, 3+SUPP 1NT = can have 4-5 points, 3SUPP 3M = 4-5 points, 4SUPP Quick simulation showed that if you have 10+ points in passed hand and 4cSUPP, for 4M not to be worth the shot partner needs to have worse hand than you. (or just 4 cards for opening) Transfering this information to other sequences we have the rebids Pass - 1M - 2♦ - 2M - 4M = I had 4+SUPP Pass - 1M - 2♣ - 2♦ = Do you have 4+SUPP Pass - 1M - 2M - 4M = here I'm gonna need a little extra strength anyway because dummy has less entries, so no need to ask how long the SUPP is - J

My first instinct was to look at the hand like this: ♠KJxx ♥xx ♦Txx ♣xxxx opposite ♠A97xx ♥ATx ♦AJ98 ♣x and being unlucky I don't play weak major raises today, I open 1♠ and partner raises to 2♠ (again, a minimum hand) Is opener supposed to bid game now, thinking he's going to make it? (responder doesn't raise invite, after all, only 4 points) This lead me to think that what responder should value is the fourth trump and three ruffable clubs (assuming trumps break) Second instinct was that I hope you didn't run your simulations double dummy, since then a single finesse in diamonds is enough unless they are 3-3 with honours split. And the spades can be played for no losers unless QTx behind or 4-0, which gives us 3♦+1♥+6♠ And before I get any responses about "but the simulation wasn't just for defenders hands", my point is that trump suits like QTx vs A97xx are, double dummy, one losers at most (mere mortals can lose 2 tricks) and diamonds like Kxx vs AJ98 or Qxxx vs AJ98 have only one loser (if the QTx or king is offside) - J