Roger_L

to all: thx for the answers

A few weeks ago I was leader in a 4♥♥-contract. After the dummy came on the table I counted 4 losers. Dummy and my hand were holding 10 trumps together. The missing cards were King-x-x. My LHO started with ♠A. In dummy ♠xxx. In my hand ♠Qxx. LHO followed by a small ♠. My RHO cashed the king and returned another spade, trumped by LHO. I won the next trick in my hand and played a small ♥. On the table you see ♥AQJx. LHO followed by a small ♥. What now ? Who has the ♥ king ? I played the ace because the possibility of a 2-1 holding by the opponents is 78%. A 3-0 holding only 22%. And… my LHO was holding Kxx. Result: 1 down. One of the best players of our club told my he ALWAYS take the finesse. For me it’s difficult to believe I did wrong using the probabilities. Who can give information ? Thx