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Hummer_

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Everything posted by Hummer_

  1. I've only played a couple of ITs, but the gibs bid differently at other tables. With identical auctions the GIBs make different leads at other tables. For instance after (2H) 2S (P) my gib passed but at other tables the gib raised in the exact same auction. Where can I find info on ITs? TIA mike
  2. I like the 55 minutes for 12 boards. It lets you play relaxed. It also allows me to play at work. If a problem arises I have time to do work duties and then come back to the tourney. I am usually done early and like to watch the slower players to see how the gibs are telling and playing. Not knowing immediately how I did is a cheap price to pay for the relaxed time constraint. Mike
  3. What does this ACBL restriction in tourneys mean? If a player that I have identified as an enemy is playing, I can not, or I won't meet him/her, or what? thanks Mike
  4. Oh it was so simple, just copy into text file. Thanks for posting this Free. I owe you some beers. Mike
  5. Glad I saw this Free. Last night I started to do this myself, didn't get too far. This was a lot of work. Where can I get this eletronically? Thanks Mike
  6. The link on the Austrailian Bridge site does not seem to be there anymore. Can some one email me a copy? thanks mike mmhansen44@hotmail.com
  7. I'd buy the DVD, item 1, as soon as it's offered. Mike
  8. [hv=n=s94hkq5da763ckjt5&s=sqt5ha2dk954ca962]133|200|[/hv] In their book "Bridge Odds for Practical Players" Hugh Kelsey and Michael Glauert discuss the above hand after a 1N 3N auction and the ♦2 lead. Declarer plays low and captures east's J with the K. Their analysis follows. "It is a fair presumption that west has led from a four-card suit, in which case he will have nine vacant places to east's twelve The odds are therefore 4 to 3 that the queen of clubs is with east, and after a club to the king you should finesse on the way back." In the Granovetter's book "For experts Only" Phil Martin argues in the chapter "The Monty Hall Trap" that we knew all along that west had a four-card suit and that he would most likely lead it with a 1N - 3N auction. Therefore this is not new information and we should not use it. He also suggests that following restricted choice we have a hint that west probably has no other four-card suit or he might have led that. So east's hand might be 5512 or similar. Therefore we should play the ♣A and finesse west for the queen. So which way would you go? Mike
  9. If clubs are 3-5 then west will hold both honors or east will have a stiff honor 33% of the time and the clubs will not run. If clubs are 2-6 then east will have both honors 36% of the time and the clubs won't run 64% of the time. 5 card suits appear in about 48.4% of the hands (I doubled the % for the 55s) and 6 card suits in 13.8%. The weighted chance of the clubs not running is about 40%. An interesting situation arises when east has a stiff ♦ honor and 5♣s and you lead towards the ♦J. With ♦Hxxxx will west fly? Mike
  10. With the 21-23 hcp simulation 33 made 2♦ and 37, 18, and 2 made 3, 4 & 5 respectively for an expected score of 107.6 on each of the 90 hands that make. In 1N 38, 20, 14, and 4 make 1 to 4N respectively for an expected score on the 76 hands that make of 113.7. So if the contract is making you want to be in notrump at MPs, but if you don't know if its makeing and you are nv the expectations are 71 for notrump and 91 for ♦s. :P Mike
  11. I ran two simulations of 100 hands each with an 8 card ♦ fit 4-4 or 5-3 and no other 8 card fit. The first had 19-20 combined hcp and the second 21-23. In the 19-20 2♦ went down 44 times and 1N went down 67 times. With 21-23 hcp 2♦ went down 10 times and 1N 24 times. Seems like we should have more respect for 2 of a minor even at MPs. :lol: Mike
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