fwxc

understand your point, but then how could p not opened but with 3 defensive tricks? how to balance the risks of defense 3♦ dbl or to play a doubled 3level M. I think this is the key to evaluate.

let's say Match Points. but how could p have 3 defensive tricks? the possibility of defeat 3♦ is almost none. making 3 level Major may not be sure but the loss is lighter compare to 3♦ dbl.

[hv=pc=n&s=sajhaq85dj9863c52&w=sq972hkt942dcaq43&n=skt5hdqt752cjt976&e=s8643hj763dak4ck8&d=w&v=b&b=4&a=ppp1dd3dppd]399|300[/hv] here is the distribution. and the bidding was E to bid.

see layout downstairs. I think all exp must have openned for W's hand as 1♥ then problems solved on playing 3♥ and down most of cases. sure W should've opened. but he didn't that's why he dbled twice later. now because of W didn't open for whatever reason, now all pressure goes to E, as some said, E got 2 tricks on trump and a possible wining on ♣, what will be the judgement to pass or bid majors? the possibilities of making 3 level Major contract and defense opp's 3♦ dbl, whichi is higher? E passed, would he hold's 3 winning tricks? both Major 44 fit is a gauranteed. the risk of passing or bid which hurts more? if you were E what would you do to save the hand?

[hv=pc=n&e=s8643hj763dak4ck8&d=w&v=b&b=4&a=ppp1dd3dppdp]133|200[/hv]

希望能组队参加！

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